Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute

Applied to Defining "Bullshit": Limitations and Related Frameworks 23d ago

Applied to Keeping "Epistemics" Broad: An Early Exploration 1mo ago

Applied to Nuanced Models for the Influence of Information 3mo ago

Applied to A Sketch of AI-Driven Epistemic Lock-In 4mo ago

Applied to 6 (Potential) Misconceptions about AI Intellectuals 5mo ago

Applied to $300 Fermi Model Competition 5mo ago

Applied to AI for Resolving Forecasting Questions: An Early Exploration 6mo ago

Applied to Introducing Squiggle AI 6mo ago

Applied to Enhancing Mathematical Modeling with LLMs: Goals, Challenges, and Evaluations 8mo ago

Applied to My Current Claims and Cruxes on LLM Forecasting & Epistemics 1y ago

Applied to LLM-Secured Systems: A General-Purpose Tool For Structured Transparency 1y ago

Applied to "Full Automation" is a Slippery Metric 1y ago

Applied to A Case for Superhuman Governance, using AI 1y ago

Applied to Ideas for Next-Generation Writing Platforms, using LLMs 1y ago

Applied to Higher-Order Forecasts 1y ago

Applied to Scorable Functions: A Format for Algorithmic Forecasting 1y ago

Applied to Podcast: Is Forecasting a Promising EA Cause Area? 1y ago

Applied to Distinctions when Discussing Utility Functions 1y ago

Applied to Open Technical Challenges around Probabilistic Programs and Javascript 2y ago

Applied to Using Points to Rate Different Kinds of Evidence 2y ago