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Statistics
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Weighted Factor Models: Consider using the geometric mean instead of the arithmetic mean
1mo
ago
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Is there a calibration training tool for 'percentile rankings from a reference group'?
2mo
ago
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How Often Does ¬Correlation ⇏ ¬Causation?
7mo
ago
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Why Cost-Effectiveness ≠ Effectiveness/Cost
1y
ago
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Expected value and uncertainty without full Monte Carlo simulations
1y
ago
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Shapley values: an introductory example
1y
ago
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Does studying stats rather than maths reduce impactful career options?
1y
ago
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Prior X%—<1%: A quantified 'epistemic status' of your prediction.
1y
ago
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When pooling forecasts, use the geometric mean of odds
2y
ago
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How much do you believe your results?
2y
ago
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Introducing Stanford’s new Humane & Sustainable Food Lab
2y
ago
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Request: Datasets with measurement error and missing data?
2y
ago
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Iqisa: A Library For Handling Forecasting Datasets
2y
ago
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Making better estimates with scarce information
2y
ago
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[Linkpost] Michael Huemer on the case for Bayesian statistics
2y
ago
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Visualisation of Probability Mass
2y
ago
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America’s 100 Charities receiving most donations
2y
ago
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Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
2y
ago
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AI X-Risk: Integrating on the Shoulders of Giants
2y
ago
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‘Dissolving’ AI Risk – Parameter Uncertainty in AI Future Forecasting
2y
ago