Oren Bar-Gill, an economics and law professor at Harvard, recently wrote a paper critiquing the use of willingness-to-pay (WTP) as a proxy for utility because WTP is affected by wealth (some economists refer to WTP as “willingness-and-ability-to-pay” for this reason). Specifically, all else equal, wealthy people often have a higher WTP for goods. This means that standard, microeconomic welfare estimates using WTP -- i.e. consumer surplus maximization -- implicitly add greater weight to the utility of wealthy individuals relative to poor individuals.
We’re wondering if you all (a.) think this is a problem and (b.) have come across/can think of solutions for dealing with this concern.
Extra info: We think this issue may have real-world consequences. Economists regularly use consumer surplus to make policy decisions. For example, the FTC uses consumer surplus as a chief consideration when making decisions about antitrust regulation. Additionally, well-respected economists regularly use consumer surplus maximization as an approximation of welfare for policy papers such as in this paper about price ceilings in natural gas markets.
Given that this concern seems to have real-world consequences, we find it strange that professors at our university (which has a well-regarded economics department) didn't address it. Most undergraduate microeconomic courses used surplus maximization as the core tool for welfare maximization. Yet, in our experience, no professor brought up the fact that using WTP may add greater weight to the utility of wealthy people. This made us think we were missing something, but professors seemed to agree that this was a concern when we asked in office hours.
If you also think this is a problem, we’re very interested in hearing how you think it can be (at least partially) resolved. Here are a few examples of “solutions” (more like band-aids) we thought about:
- Split up groups by income and separately analyze the WTP (and the derived consumer surplus) of each group. Then apply different weightings to each group’s consumer surplus and sum across. We took a stab at this in this spreadsheet and explain our process in this doc.
- Control for poverty when conducting a regression analysis using survey data. Feel free to link examples.
We'd love comments on these proposed solutions or other suggestions. Thanks!!
I agree that this is an important topic. Economic welfare analysis is a widely used method for cause prioritization, and a lot of it looks very different from the kind of cause prioritization work that 80k or Open Philanthropy would do. So it's useful to look into why that is.
That said, a lot of the economics literature goes beyond the simple "maximize surplus" approach that you highlight. The main subfield to look at is public economics (or a narrower subfield called public finance). That's where you find professors who understand welfare economics the most. Since at least the 1970s, mainstream public economists have studied optimal policy using social welfare functions which capture the idea of diminishing marginal utility from wealth (James Mirlees' Nobel prize-winning work on optimal redistribution is a good example. Atkinson and Stiglitz's textbook, first published in 1980, is a great resource for learning this kind of stuff. And here are a few examples of papers published in the last few years). Roughly, those papers adjust WTP by a factor to account for differing marginal utilities, as you suggest in your google doc.
Many economists who most directly influence public policy are public economics or public finance professors (as an example, all 5 professors from the University of Chicago who served on the Council of Economic Advisors in the past 12 years were from public economics), so narrow "maximize willingness to pay" thinking shouldn't be a problem for them.
However, many economists outside of public economics often do engage in the simple "maximize WTP" thinking that you're talking about. Unfortunately, more sophisticated welfare analysis often isn't a standard part of graduate school curricula (let alone undergrad courses), so a lot of economists don't know about it. These economists could be having negative impacts in a number of ways:
I'm not sure how big this negative impact is, but if it turned out to be big, I think the solution would be on the education side. Basic concepts in welfare economics, including optimal redistribution, should be a part of standard graduate and undergraduate economics curricula. Interested students should be informed that if they want to learn more they should take a public finance elective. From what I hear, this is fairly common at European universities, but not at American ones.
Thanks! Both the Atkinson article and the Sen interview are very interesting. I would like to see some actual data on the teaching of welfare economics/public economics. People seem to agree that it's declined, but I'm not sure I would agree that it has "disappeared" (anecdotally, I know many people who were exposed to models of optimal redistribution during undergrad. Some of these people were exposed through a required course, and others chose to take a public finance elective). My impression that welfare economics teaching is more common at European universities is also just based on anecdotal evidence. Some actual data would be helpful.