Do you want to become a better-calibrated predictor while following current events? Do you want to compete against other forecasters in quick-resolving questions that provide regular performance feedback? Do you want to win the Quarterly Cup?

You are invited to forecast in the new Quarterly Cup Tournament, Metaculus's venue for forecasters of all experience levels to compete on topical questions and win recognition for their forecasting prowess.

Each week, Metaculus presents a fresh set of questions related to current events. Each week, at least one question will resolve. Unlike previous Beginner and Breaking News tournaments, many questions will feature an extended hidden period in order to help identify and reward exceptional forecasters.

The Quarterly Cup also happens to be a great venue for submitting your own questions and contributing to the growth and vibrancy of the forecasting community. (Find a question writing and submission guide here.)

If you’re new to Metaculus, the Quarterly Cup is an excellent opportunity to learn how the platform works. If you’re a veteran, it’s the perfect place to demonstrate your abilities. 

Here are some of the open questions to get you started: