ank
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We were modelling the ultimate best future (billions of years from now) for 3+ years, Xerox PARC-style, we got very exciting results. Including AI safety results
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Here is a drafty continuation you can find interesting (or not ;):
In unreasonable times the solution to AI problem will sounds unreasonable at first. Even though it's probably the only reasonable and working solution.
Imagine in a year we solved alignment and even hackers/rogue states cannot unleash AI agents on us. How we did it?
- The most radical solution that will do it (unrealistic and undesirable): is having international cooperation and destroying all the GPUs, never making them again. Basically returning to some 1990s computer-wise, no 3D video games but everything else is similar. But it's unrealistic and probably stifles innovation too much.
- Less radical is keeping GPUs so people can have video games and simulations but internationally outlawing all AI and replacing GPUs with the ones that completely not support AI (we may need to have Mathematically Proven Secure GPU OS so GPUs are secure sandboxes that are more locked up then nuclear plants, they cannot run AI models, self destruct in case of tampering, call FBI, need Web access to work, there are ways to make it extremely hard to run AIs on them, like having all the GPUs compute only non-AI things remotely on NVIDIA servers, so computers are like thin clients, and GPU compute is always rented from the cloud, etc.) They can even burn and call some FBI if a person tries to run some AI on it, it's a joke. So like returning to 2020 computer-wise, no AI but everything else the same.
- Less radical is to have whitelists of models right on GPU, a GPU becomes a secure computer that only works if it's connected to the main server (it can be some international agency, not NVIDIA, because we want all GPU makes, not just NVIDIA to be forced to make non-agentic GPUs). NVIDIA and other GPU providers approve models a bit like Apple approves apps in their App Store. Like Nintendo approves games for her Nintendo Switch. So no agentic models, we'll have non-agentic tool AIs that Max Tegmark recommends: they are task specific (don't have broad intelligence), they can be chatbots, fold proteins, do everything without replacing people. And place AIs that allow you to be the agent and explore the model like a 3D game. This is a good solution that keeps our world the way it is now but 100% safe.
And NVIDIA will be happy to have this world, because it will double her business, NVIDIA will be able to replace all the GPUs: so people will bring theirs and get some money for it, then they buy new non-agentic sandboxed GPU with an updatable whitelist (probably to use gpus you'll need internet connection from now on, especially if you didn't update the whitelist of AI models for more than a few days).
And NVIDIA will be able to take up to 15-30% commission from the paid AI model providers (like OpenAI). Smaller developers will make models, they will be registered in a stricter fashion than in Apple's App Store, in a similar fashion to Nintendo developers. Basically we'll want to know they are good people and won't run evil AI models or agents while pretending they are developing something benign. .. So we need just to spread the world and especially convince the politicians of the dangers and of this solution: that we just need to make GPU makers the gatekeepers who have skin in the game to keep all the AI models safe.
We'll give deadlines to GPU owners, first we'll update their GPUs with blacklists and whitelists. There will be a deadline to replace GPUs, else the old ones will stop working (will be remotely bricked, all OSes and AI tools will have a list of those bricked GPUs and will refuse to work with them) and law enforcement will take possession of them.
This way we'll sanitize our world from insecure unsafe GPUs we have now. Only whitelisted models will run inside of the sandboxed GPU and will only spit out safe text or picture output.
Having a few GPU companies to control is much easier than having infinitely many insecure unsafe GPUs with hackers, military and rogue states everywhere.
At least we can have politicians (in order to make defense and national security better) make NVIDIA and other GPU manufacturers sell those non-agentic GPUs to foreign countries, so there will be bigger and bigger % of non-agentic (or it can be some very limited agency if math proven safe) GPUs that are mathematically proven to be safe. Same way we try to make fewer countries have nuclear weapons, we can replace their GPUs (their "nukes", their potentially uncontrollable and autonomous weapons) with safe non-agentic GPUs (=conventional non-military civilian tech)
Yes, David, I should start recommending GPUs with internal antiviruses because they have lists + heuristics, they work.
We better to have GPUs that are protected right now, before things go bad.
Even if we don’t know how to make ideal 100% perfect anti-bad-AI antiviruses on GPU-level, it’s better than 100% unprotected GPUs we have now. It’ll deter some threats, slow down hackers/agentic AI takeover.
It can be a start that we’ll build upon as we better understand the threats
A major problem with the setup of our forum: currently it's possible to go here or to any post and double downvote all the new posts in mass (please, don't! Just believe me it's possible), so writers who were writing their AI safety proposal for months will have their posts ruined (almost no one reads posts with negative rating), will probably abandon our cause and go become evil masterminds.
Solution: UI proposal to solve the problem of demotivating writers, helps to teach writers how to improve their posts (so it makes all the posts better), it keeps the downvote buttons, increases signal to noise ratio on the site because both authors and readers will have information why the post was downvoted:
- It’s important to ask for reasons why a downvoter downvotes if the downvote will move the post below zero in karma. The author was writing something for maybe months, the downvoter if it’s important enough to downvote, will be able to spend an additional moment to choose between some popular reasons to downvote (we have a lot of space on the desktop, we can put the most popular reasons for downvotes as buttons like Spam, Bad Title, Many Tags, Type...) or to choose some reason later on some special page. Else the writer will have no clue, will rage quit and become Sam Altman instead.
- More serious now: On desktop we have a lot of space and can show buttons like this: Spam (this can potentially be a big offense, bigger than 1 downvote), Typo (they probably shouldn't lower the post as much as a full downvote), Too Many Tags, basically the popular reasons people downvote. We can make those buttons appear when hovering on the downvote button or always. This way people still click once to downvote like before.
- Especially if a downvoter downvoted so much, the post now has negative karma, we show a bubble in a corner for 30 seconds that says something like this: "Please choose one of those other popular reasons people downvote or hover here to type a word or 2 why you double downvoted, it'll help the writer improve."
- Downvoters can hover over the downvote button, it’ll hijack their typing cursor so they can quickly type a word or two why they downvote and press enter to downvote. Again very elegant UI.
- If they just click downvote (you can still keep this button), show a ballon for 30 secs where a downvoter can choose a popular reasons for downvoting or again hover and instantly type a word or 2 and press enter to downvote
- A page “Leave feedback for your downvotes”: where we show downvotes that ruined articles, then double downvotes then the rest. We can say it honestly in our UI: those are new authors and your downvote most likely demotivated them because the article has negative karma now, so please write how can they improve. And we maybe can write that feedback for popular articles (with comments, from established writers and/or above zero karma posts) is not as important, so you don’t need to bother.
- Phone UI is similar but we don’t have hovering. So we can still show popular reasons to downvote on top maybe as icons: Spam, Typo, etc and a button to Type and Downvote that looks like a typing cursor & Downvote icon - by tapping it the keyboard autoappears, you enter a word or two and press return to downvote. So again one tap to downvote like before in most cases. We just gave the downvoters more choices to express themselves.
- As I said before we need this at least when the downvote will ruin the post - put it into the negative karma territory. This way we prioritizing teaching people how to write better and more, instead of scaring them away to abandon our website. Everybody wins.
Thank you for reading and making the website work!
The only complete and comprehensive solution that makes AIs 100% safe: in a nutshell we need to at least lobby politicians to make GPU manufacturers (NVIDIA and others) to make robust blacklists of bad AI models, update GPU firmwares with them. It's not the full solution: please steelman and read the rest to learn how to make it much safer and why it will work (NVIDIA and other GPU makers will want to do it because it'll double their business and all future cash flows. Gov will want it because it removes all AI threats from China, all hackers, terrorists and rogue states):
- The elephant in the room: even if current major AI companies will align their AIs, there will be hackers (can create viruses with agentic AI component to steal money), rogue states (can decide to use AI agents to spread propaganda and to spy) and military (AI agents in drones and to hack infrastructure). So we need to align the world, not just the models:
- Imagine a agentic AI botnet starts to spread on user computers and GPUs, GPUs are like nukes to be taken, they are not protected from running bad AI models at all. I call it the agentic explosion, it's probably going to happen before the "intelligence-agency" explosion (intelligence on its own cannot explode, an LLM is a static geometric shape - a bunch of vectors - without GPUs). Right now we are hopelessly unprepared. We won't have time to create "agentic AI antiviruses".
- To force GPU and OS providers to update their firmware and software to at least have robust updatable blacklists of bad AI (agentic) models. And to have robust whitelists, in case there will be so many unaligned models, blacklists will become useless.
- We can force NVIDIA to replace agentic GPUs with non-agentic ones. Ideally those non-agentic GPUs are like sandboxes that run an LLM internally and can only spit out the text or image as safe output. They probably shouldn't connect to the Internet, use tools, or we should be able to limit that in case we'll need to.
- This way NVIDIA will have the skin in the game and be directly responsible for the safety of AI models that run on its GPUs.
- The same way Apple feels responsible for the App Store and the apps in it, doesn't let viruses happen.
- NVIDIA will want it because it can potentially like App Store take 15-30% cut from OpenAI and other commercial models, while free models will remain free (like the free apps in the App Store).
- Replacing GPUs can double NVIDIA's business, so they can even lobby themselves to have those things. All companies and CEOs want money, have obligations to shareholders to increase company's market capitalization. We must make AI safety something that is profitable. Those companies that don't promote AI safety should go bankrupt or be outlawed.
If we go extinct, it doesn't matter how much value we get. We don't exist to appreciate it.
If we don't go extinct, it probably means we have enough "value" (we survived, it means we had and have food and shelter) and probably we can have math proofs how to make AI agents safe. Now after the main extinction event (probably AI agentic explosion) is in the past, we can work on increasing the value of futures.
The summary is not great, the main idea is this: we have 3 “worlds” - physical, online, and AI agents’ multimodal “brains” as the third world. We can only easily access the physical world, we are slower than AI agents online and we cannot access multimodal “brains” at all, they are often owned by private companies.
While AI agents can access and change all the 3 “worlds” more and more.
We need to level the playing field by making all the 3 worlds easy for us to access and democratically change, by exposing the online world and especially the multimodal “brains” world as game-like 3D environments for people to train and get at least the same and ideally more freedoms and capabilities than AI agents have.
Not bad for a summary, it’s important to ensure human freedoms grow faster than restrictions on us. Human and agentic AI freedoms can be counted, we don’t want to have fewer freedoms than agentic AIs (it’s the definition of a dystopia) but sadly we are already ~10% there and continue falling right into a dystopia
I’ll be happy to answer any questions 🫶🏻 We started to discuss the project to some extent already but why not to discuss it here.
P.S. Should I change the title or tags? How? I'm very bad at those things
Yes, the only realistic and planet-wide 100% safe solution is this: putting all the GPUs in safe cloud/s controlled by international scientists that only make math-proven safe AIs and only stream output to users.
Each user can use his GPU for free from the cloud on any device (even on phone), when the user doesn't use it, he can choose to earn money by letting others use his GPU.
You can do everything you do now, even buy or rent GPUs, all of them just will be cloud math-proven safe GPUs instead of physical. Because GPUs are nukes are we want no nukes or to put them deep underground in one place so they can be controlled by international scientists.
Computer viruses we still didn't 100% solve (my mom had an Android virus recently), even iPhone and Nintendo Switch got jailbroken almost instantly, there are companies jailbreak iPhones as a service. I think Google Docs never got jailbroken, and majorly hacked, it's a cloud service, so we need to base our AI and GPU security on this best example, we need to have all our GPUs in an internationally scientist controlled cloud.
Else we'll have any hacker write a virus (just to steal money) with an AI agent component, grab consumer GPUs like cup-cakes, AI agent can even become autonomous (and we know they become evil in major ways, want to have a tea party with Stalin and Hitler - there was a recent paper - if given an evil goal. Will anyone align AIs for hackers or hacker themself will do it perfectly (they won't) to make an AI agent just to steal money but be a slave and do nothing else bad?)