I'm an AI Program Officer at Longview Philanthropy, though all views I express here are my own.
Before Longview I was a researcher at Open Philanthropy and a Charity Entrepreneurship incubatee.
"Given leadership literature is rife with stories of rejected individuals going on to become great leaders"
The selection effect can be very misleading here — in that literature you usually don't hear from all the individuals who were selected and failed, nor those who were rejected correctly and would have failed, and so on. Lots of advice from the start-up/business sector is super sus for this exact reason.
What can I read to understand the current and near-term state of drone warfare, especially (semi-)autonomous systems?
I'm looking for an overview of the developments in recent years, and what near-term systems are looking like. I've been enjoying Paul Scharre's 'Army of None', but given it was published in 2018 it's well behind the curve. Thanks!
I don't know. My guess is that they give very slim odds to the Trump admin caring about carbon neutrality, and think that the benefit of including a mention in their submission to be close to zero (other than demonstrating resolve in their principles to others).
On the minus side, such a mention risks a reaction with significant cost to their AI safety/security asks. So overall, I can see them thinking that including a mention does not make sense for their strategy. I'm not endorsing that calculus, just conjecturing.
Thanks. Given Alice has committed no crime, and everything else about her is 'normal', I think organizers would need to point to her belief to justify uninviting or banning her. That would suggest that an individual's beliefs can (in at least one case) justify restricting their participation, on the basis of how that belief concerns other (prospective) attendees.
Thanks for this. Post-hoc theorizing:
‘doing good better’ calls to mind comparisons to the reader’s typical ideas about doing good. It implicitly criticizes those examples, which is a negative experience for the reader and could cause defensiveness.
‘Do the most good’ makes the reader attempt to imagine what that could be, which is a positive and interesting question, and doesn’t immediately challenge the reader’s typical ideas about doing good.
It wouldn’t have been obvious to me before the fact whether the above stuff wouldn’t be outweighed by worries about reactions to ‘the most good’ or what have you, so I appreciate you gathering empirical evidence here.