GR

Guy Raveh

PhD Student in maths/climate @ University of Reading
4796 karmaJoined Pursuing a doctoral degree (e.g. PhD)Reading, UK

Bio

Participation
3

Currently pursuing a PhD at the "Mathematics for Our Future Climate" CDT at Reading University.

Previously MSc in applied mathematics/theoretical ML.

Not really active here - racism, Rationality and weirdness in the movement are so bad they made me give up on it.

Comments
990

Topic contributions
1

This is outright the best April Fool's post we've had this year. Shame it didn't get more views. Seriously, I laughed out loud multiple times.

(I'm Jewish, my grandma was a Holocaust survivor and her father and most of her extended family were killed by the Nazis. My grandfather managed to flee before the war started but some of his family were also killed.)

Thank god we have the April Fool's tag to protect us from Poe's law though.

Guy Raveh
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90% disagree

How much of a post are you comfortable for AI to write?

The only parts I'd let AI write are those where I'm unsure if my phrasing is really natural in English and I ask for a better one.

If I'm not the one writing the post, I don't see why anyone should bother reading it.

Doesn't really even have to be "AGI" for this, strictly speaking.

Extinction perhaps not, but I think eternal autocracy is definitely possible.

Elon Musk has already used this power to do actions which will potentially kill millions (by funding the Trump campaign enough to get to close down USAID). I think that should worry us, and the chance of people amassing even more power should worry us even more.

What do you think their counterfactual is? I don't think any of what they've been doing is really transferable.

Not trying to answer on the author's behalf, but it seems relatively clear to me that differential development is possible here: so far most advancements in science seem to have come from biological applications like AlphaFold that are distinct from the LLMs that have created most problems both in the eyes of "doomers" and in the eyes of people warning about current non-extinction dangers. Therefore the development of beneficial tools can in theory be accelerated while the development of LLMs is slowed down.

Small note: I don't know if it's my own English at fault, but I interpreted "7x below the WHO threshold" as meaning "7 times worse than the threshold" and only understood the actual meaning as I looked at the actual numbers later. Might be worth wording it differently.

Great result I think!

Mentioned many real dangers, gave a pretty realistic outlook, and was approachable and funny without making it all look ridiculous.

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