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Henry Howard🔸

893 karmaJoined Melbourne VIC, Australia
henryach.com

Bio

Strong advocate of just having a normal job and give to effective charities.

Doctor in Australia giving 10% forever

Comments
123

I don’t find this reassuring. Farmers intermittently having to test large amounts of their livestock and crops for the presence of CRISPR and running counter-gene drives sounds really difficult and expensive.

Welcome Aditi. I organise the Melbourne The Life You Can Save meetup group. We meet once a month (usually at the Fluffy Torpedo ice cream shop in Fitzroy) and we organise talks at schools/workplaces about effective giving. Let me know if you want to be added to our email list, would be great to have you along.

There's also an EA Melbourne group and the Melbourne Giving What We Can community if you're not already involved with them.

I suspect another explanation, which is that there is a lot of skepticism about the effects of unconditional cash transfers. The debate about their effects, particularly long-term, is ongoing. E.g.:

https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/impactevaluations/givedirectly-three-year-impacts-explained

https://chrisblattman.com/blog/2013/10/25/and-the-cashonistas-rejoice/

Lots of serious people are waiting and watching to get more results from more trials and to make sure nothing bad happens.

There are so many countries that GiveDirectly doesn't cover, so there seems to be a lot of room for other charities to pop up in these areas.

And many patients don't listen or they make mistakes. In an opt-in system that is considered their responsibility, but in an opt-out system like you're proposing, bad outcome will be blamed on the potassium fortification program. Not politically viable

I think that U-curve is narrower with potassium than with iodine, calcium, or fluoride. The consequence of severe hyperkalemia is cardiac arrest so it's quite serious. Most people would have to consume a lot of potassium to get to that point but certain subgroups - people with kidney failure for example - would be susceptible.

Supplements with a U-shaped benefit/harm curve like that and different effects in different subgroups aren't appropriate for universal supplementation. This is not that different to trying to add antihypertensives to the water supply.

Like most antihypertensive treatment, potassium supplementation needs to be implemented case-by-case and on a voluntary basis so that the subpopulation that needs less potassium aren't involuntarily harmed.

No we should not limit development of poor countries because we're worried about them building up their factory farm industries.

There's a lot of moral uncertainty when comparing animal and human welfare, so that utility calculus will almost always be a dead end. Meanwhile what we can be quite certain of is that limiting global development will be really harmful to the people in those developing countries. It would also look very hypocritical for rich countries to turn around and tell poor countries they shouldn't develop because of animal rights and therefore damaging to the relationship between developing countries and development economists.

It's a no from me.

Keen to listen to/watch this if it's released. Thanks for posting it

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