Net negative

None / Negligible

Net positive

Poll: What effect have protests calling for a  pause / stop / deceleration on the development of AI had on the world?

a) Net positive
b) None / Negligible
c) Net negative

This poll will be used to resolve this prediction market.

Vote by agree reacting to one of my comments below. Only vote once!

FWIW I have personally said something close to “If I donate enough money to effective animal charities, I’ll save more animals than I would by going vegan. So, I don’t need to personally stop consuming animal products.”

And after reading this article, I still stand by that position.

 See ai-plans.com

Announcing PauseCon, the PauseAI conference.
Three days of workshops, panels, and discussions, culminating in our biggest protest to date.
Twitter: https://x.com/PauseAI/status/1915773746725474581
Apply now: https://pausecon.org

<negativity>
This is cool, but the 10% Pledge is for life. If you're primarily motivated by current events you may find it difficult to stick to your pledge 10 years from now.
</negativity>

This is really great! Giving to charity is awesome and it's especially impactful right now!

The next international PauseAI protest is taking place in one week in London, New York, Stockholm (Sunday 9th Feb), Paris (Mon 10 Feb) and many other cities around the world.

We are calling for AI Safety to be the focus of the upcoming Paris AI Action Summit. If you're on the fence, take a look at Why I'm doing PauseAI.

Great point! Off the cuff I don't think this massively changes considerations for PauseAI, but I'll need to think about this.