A good question - and actually partially answered in the document you linked. Labour migrants contribute to public finances, while students/family/refugees do not.
In cases where a skill-trade worker is migrating alone, the net fiscal benefit (not including other benefits) is clearly positive. In cases where a skill-trade worker is migrating along with family members, the fiscal impact may end up zero or negative.
But even in those cases - fiscal impact is not everything. In a industry like Canadian construction, where companies are not able to complete projects because they don't have workers, bringing in skilled labor has positive economic and infrastructural benefits beyond the tax dollars those immigrants pay.
Overall I'm confident that supporting workers to fill skill-trade jobs where there are shortages in the destination country will result in a net positive impact on the destination country.
love the idea! I just glanced over it quickly, and I would say the website didn't really give me confidence in your calculations.
Here are two quick examples:
These might seem like small details, but your users will think "if the site gets these details wrong, then why should I trust their calculations?" There is a lot of charlatanry among people making tools like this - people claiming totally unrealistic numbers without good justification. So you really have to go out of your way to prove your rigor.
You have to be demonstrably rigorous, but you also have to make the tool easy to use which is a very tough balance. But that's the reality of making a tool like this. I started trying to make a similar tool but gave up because I realized getting the balance right would be much harder than I originally anticipated.
I found that ACE estimates that the Humane League an estimate of between -6 and 13 farmed animals spared per dollar donated. If anyone has other sources or perspectives to share on this, I'd greatly appreciate it.
Echoing themes of what some other people have said, I think it's important to have space in your life where you are not always optimizing for effectiveness. You were on vacation! Choosing to use some of your vacation time and a significant chunk of money is admirable.
The ONLY worry I would have if I were in your shoes from an EA perspective is "this $1000 I spent, would I have otherwise donated it to a super effective charity?" If the answer is yes then maybe there's some reflection to do about how you are approaching effectiveness. But if - as I'm guessing - that $1000 came out of money that you would have spent to make yourself happy I'm some other way, then it's admirable you decided to use it to help this dog.
How I think about it: I have a effective giving budget, and a guilt-free spending on myself budget. I spend $1000+ per year on things like movies, going out to eat, etc., and don't feel bad about it because I have budgeted for it and can't do an effectiveness calculation every time I make a decision about how to spend my time or money.
Thanks - maybe I'm giving them too much trust.
In their impact report they say "We’ve granted out $14.89m in total and we estimate that it will avert 102m tonnes in CO2-equivalent emissions."
I would not give too much credence to that from a non-EA aligned org, but I've been giving them decent credence with regards to counterfactual impact reporting since they're EA aligned.
You're saying I should treat their reports less like givewell reports, and more like I would treat a random non EA charity. Any particular arguments for why? Or is it just that you wouldn't take the prior of assuming that they are at the evaluation quality of givewell? (Or maybe you don't trust givewell on this either)
A good push. This kind of analysis will look different by the destination country's level of social spending - Denmark has particularly high social spending.
And still seems quite likely that for skill-trade jobs with positive externalities (construction, healthcare) where the destination government is trying to attract foreign workers that the net societal impact is positive even in cases where the fiscal impact is negative.
But the picture is not as clear as I assumed - thank you.