I work as an engineer, donate 10% of my income, and occasionally enjoy doing independent research. I'm most interested in farmed animal welfare and the nitty-gritty details of global health and development work. In 2022, I was a co-winner of the GiveWell Change Our Mind Contest.
Thanks!
I was curious about your comment that "we intend to create cost-effective impact for farmed animals by making the grants that other funders cannot - small grants delivered early and fast." From this initial description, it doesn't seem obvious to me that you're targeting a different niche than what ACE Movement Grants and AWF are currently covering. Could you say more about how you see BluePerch differing from these existing orgs? (Though I will note that it's not a bad thing to have some overlap here, more grantmaking capacity for effective animal advocacy is great!)
I think I concur. It seems like a bad call to put someone who committed massive financial crimes into a grantmaking platform development/research role, especially one in the EA/AI safety community. I don't disagree that redemption is possible and that people can change, but I think the conditions for hiring someone in these kinds of cases (e.g. time since the crime occurred and weight of evidence that the person has changed) need to be a function of the sensitivity of the role and the magnitude of the crime. And I don't think that bar is anywhere close to having been met here.
Super cool!
Thanks for the post! I was surprised to see how weak the academically-published evidence is regarding shrimp stunning effectiveness, and agree that it would be valuable on current margins for effective animal advocates to invest more in research.
For what it's worth, I read the Tesco-Hilton case study more optimistically than you do. You quote it as:
But the full quote is
(emphasis mine). That's not to say that we should rely on a single vague industry report when the academic evidence is conflicting, but I think the report does provide some evidence.
Thanks for engaging with the post! You made a lot of different points, so I'll do my best to separate them out and consider them one-by-one:
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
I see what you're getting at here. But if we agree that the externalities of crime aren't internalized, then I think we're just back in the position of the original post. You think the act utilitarian calculus checks you, I'm both skeptical that it does and think that there are non-act-utilitarian reasons why we ought to avoid lawbreaking.
On (1): You say:
I think that this is at best weak evidence. Activists' decisions of whether or not to commit crimes are surely influenced by norms, not just the expected intensity of punishment. The recent history of climate activism in the UK is a good example. As far as I can tell, nothing changed about UK law to cause the rapid rise of high-profile lawbreaking by Extinction Rebellion and then Just Stop Oil in the 2018-2023 timeframe. The UK government did in the end stop the activists through increased legal penalties (going from typically no prison time for nonviolent lawbreaking when motivated by ethical concerns to 4+ year prison sentences becoming common for the more serious cases). But something other than threat of prison time was keeping climate activists from using these tactics in the early-to-mid 2010s.
On (2):
I agree that a Pigouvian tax doesn't require restitution (as I indicated with including "improve welfare elsewhere" as something that can be done with the tax revenue). But the classical formulation (in which the optimal tax rate fully eliminates deadweight losses) does require that a dollar of consumer/producer surplus and a dollar of tax revenue produce the same social welfare. If a dollar of tax revenue produces less social welfare, then the deadweight loss cannot be eliminated.
To make this more concrete, I want to dig into an example based on your comment about driving in a world with a carbon tax. Consider taking a long trip by car rather than train under 3 different taxation schemes. Let's assume you value the convenience of the car over the train at $101, the social cost of your carbon emissions is $100, and that all consumers in this world have identical marginal utilities of money.
World A: No carbon tax. You take the trip, gaining benefits you value at +$101 while causing social costs of -$100. In this world, we might say that you've done the right thing by driving (since this maximizes utility overall), but that for fairness reasons you might be obligated to donate some money to others, since your utility-maximizing decision also acted as a transfer from others to you.
World B: Carbon tax of $100 on the trip, returned as an equal dividend to all people. You take the trip, gaining net benefits after the tax of $1. The rest of society ends up net neutral (though there might still be particular winners and losers). In this world, you've done the right thing by driving, and have no further obligations.
World C: Carbon tax of $100 on the trip, which the government will use to buy $100 of consumer goods and dump them down an old mineshaft. You take the trip, gaining net benefits after the tax of $1. The rest of society still experiences the social costs of -$100, which the tax doesn't do anything to reduce. In this world, you've clearly done the wrong thing by driving, since you caused a net utility loss of $99.
My claim is that doing crimes is similar to deciding to drive in World C. The "tax" on crime is imprisoning the criminal, which causes them to pay large costs in terms of their lost freedom and ability to work and doesn't do anything to benefit society. And in fact it's worse than World C, since the rest of society needs to pay the additional costs of arresting, prosecuting, and jailing them. So I think the Pigouvian tax analogy does not hold here, and it's wrong to think that the harms of crime are properly internalized.
Two thoughts:
Taking each of these points in turn:
On your first question, I think your framing isn't addressing what happens if other people think the same way. The equilibrium where everyone with strong moral convictions feels licensed to break laws doesn't seem to me like it's better for vulnerable groups, just more chaotic. I think that to some extent you're proposing smashing the "defect" button in a prisoner's dilemma and hoping the other side doesn't do the same.
On your second, I agree that it's not a clear line between flawed democracy and dictatorship, but in the US today this isn't really relevant.
On your third, I think the Willowbrook example is worth thinking about more carefully. As I understand the history, the binding constraint at Willowbrook wasn't legal. Many parents and guardians retained custody and could have legally removed their children. The constraint was that families without resources didn't have a better option. And in the end, legal activism was able to marshal those resources, albeit much more slowly than I would have wished.