I graduated from Carnegie Mellon in '22 with a BS in Information Systems and minors in Economics/Software Engineering.
I currently work as a Software Engineer at a mid-sized medical company and advise family members on their donations.
I'm interested in reducing suffering!
RCV wasn't always proposed as a way to improve democracies. Take for instance this ballot initiative in my home state of Colorado https://ballotpedia.org/Colorado_Proposition_131,_Top-Four_Ranked-Choice_Voting_Initiative_(2024)
I very narrowly leaned yes on this (rather than a clear yes), because the Top Four Ranked Choice as proposed, would have only allowed political moderates to even make it to the ranked choice election.Â
I still generally support RCV and there's definitely other reasons why these initiatives failed (like being anti-endorsed by incumbent/establishment politics) but wanted to point out that specific implementations of RCV aren't always in favor of increasing democracy and this may be part of why many initiatives failed.
It's certainly a problem that AVA LA is inaccessible for organizations operating in LMIC's. We're navigating some unfortunate tradeoffs here primarily because of wealth inequality in the world (something that is far outside the scope of animal advocacy to fix). I think funders are far more likely to come to a US based conference as most funders are US (and to a lesser extent Europe) based.
A couple questions I have:
Thanks for writing this! I've wondered this and would be interested in seeing something similar for screwworms as well, if you ever get around to estimating that.
I'm also curious to know why you chose the same median welfare range as black soldier flies. Is this just the best guess you had, or is there a reason that mosquitoes would have similar experiences to them?
Wow, with tool use, pretty much every SOTA model from 6 months ago outperforms the public median forecast! I'd be curious to see how gpt-5/4.5 sonnet/4.1 opus do on this