"The tool does what it says on the tin - it shows how comparative advantage works, and how in an environment with both AI and human labourers, even if the AIs were substantially better than humans at everything, comparative advantage would still ensure there were things the humans should do to jointly maximise economic output."
The tool is absurd and makes no sense to me. Humans are going to do arts and craft while ASI does 10,000x super AI research? My response tried to hit exactly the point I believe: Comparative Advantage does not meaningfully apply here, AI can get better things for whatever it pays us by doing it itself. The conditions for CA to apply are simply not meaningfully met.
Toby Ord had a x-risk probability of 10% from AI and about 7% from other causes back then for a total of about 1/6.
Reading this, I thought Toby Ord had a total all-cause x-risk probabilitity of 10% back then at first and checked it. Thought this might be helpful since Eliezer specifically mentioned <10% x-risk from AI as very unreasonable.
It can kill you and turn your atoms into compute hardware, what does CA say about this?
"The tool does what it says on the tin - it shows how comparative advantage works, and how in an environment with both AI and human labourers, even if the AIs were substantially better than humans at everything, comparative advantage would still ensure there were things the humans should do to jointly maximise economic output."
The tool is absurd and makes no sense to me. Humans are going to do arts and craft while ASI does 10,000x super AI research? My response tried to hit exactly the point I believe: Comparative Advantage does not meaningfully apply here, AI can get better things for whatever it pays us by doing it itself. The conditions for CA to apply are simply not meaningfully met.
Toby Ord had a x-risk probability of 10% from AI and about 7% from other causes back then for a total of about 1/6.
Reading this, I thought Toby Ord had a total all-cause x-risk probabilitity of 10% back then at first and checked it. Thought this might be helpful since Eliezer specifically mentioned <10% x-risk from AI as very unreasonable.