Creating superintelligent artificial agents without a worldwide referendum is ethically unjustifiable. Until a consensus is reached on whether to bring into existence such technology, a global moratorium is required (n.b. we already have AGI).
The naturalistic fallacy IMO influences how many people evaluate artificial intelligence capabilities, causing systematic underestimation of technological progress. In animal welfare discussions, this fallacy manifests when people justify consumption practices by arguing "humans have always eaten animals" or "it's natural to eat meat," improperly deriving an ethical "ought" from a historical "is."
Similarly, in AI capability assessment, this fallacy operates through several key mechanisms:
IMO this manifestation of the naturalistic fallacy blinds observers to exponential progress in AI capabilities by conflating what has been "natural" with what should continue to be, making the objective assessment of technological advancement particularly challenging.
*I wrote this up as dot points and Claude built it out for me. I don't even know why I added this point, it just feels honest to do so.
If antinatal advocacy was effective, wouldn't it make sense to pursue on animal welfare grounds? Aren't most new humans extremely net negative?
I have a 3YO so hold fire!
AI Safety Monthly Meetup - Brief Impact Analysis
For the past 8 months, we've (AIS ANZ) been running consistent community meetups across 5 cities (Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Wellington and Canberra). Each meetup averages about 10 attendees with about 50% new participant rate, driven primarily through LinkedIn and email outreach. I estimate we're driving unique AI Safety related connections for around $6.
Volunteer Meetup Coordinators organise the bookings, pay for the Food & Beverage (I reimburse them after the fact) and greet attendees. This initiative would literally be impossible without them.
Key Metrics:
ROI: We're creating unique AI Safety related connections at $6 per connection, with additional network effects as members continue to attend and connect beyond their initial meetup.
I find it slightly concerning that many EAs come from privileged backgrounds, and the default community building strategy for acquiring new members is to target people from ... privileged backgrounds.
Whenever you're a Hammer and the solution you've arrived at is to look for Nails, I think an extra layer of scepticism should be applied.