I am recently seeing posts that implicitly, and without stating so, assume that human progress is "linear". I think there are good reasons to both believe that is true but also to believe it is not true.
I also really like RP's work on explicitly comparing causes and teasing out the assumptions behind them.
But these are all "unconnected dots" - is there some place where one can, in a simple manner, see how one's beliefs, or even uncertainties, impact all causes? For the lay person, ideally like some kind of calculator? Some example considerations:
-Can humans be significantly more happy in a "techno-future" than they were pre agriculture?
-Are human lives worth more than animals?
-Are human lives worth more than digital minds?
-How utilitarian are you?
-Do you value the birth of a person X% as much as saving a person's life?
Etc.
It might not need to cover every single considerations, but at least the most important ones.