I’ve recently read the book Epic Measures, about the global burden of disease studes. One person involved in the studies had a habit of asking people who said their intervention was the most important, “what intervention is the second most important?”
It was intended as a gotcha, but I think it’s actually a really interesting question that sheds a lot of light on cause prioritization, and I’ve got a lot out of thinking about it.
So: people who prioritize a single charity, intervention, cause, or broad area in which to work, what charity/intervention/cause/broad area in which to work is second-best, and why?
I think causes that are more robust to cluelessness should be higher priority than causes that are less so.
I feel pretty uncertain about which cause in the "robust-to-cluelessness" class should be second priority.
If I had to give an ordered list, I'd say:
1. AI alignment work
2. Work to increase the number of people that are both well-intentioned & highly capable
3. ...