Hi, Valmothy! I'm Nina, and last year I started an EA community in Kyiv. Have been organizing a lot of stuff and asking myself the same kind of questions for the last three days, let's combine our efforts! You can find me on EAhub, there are links to different social media: https://eahub.org/profile/nina-antonyuk/.
Please write to me! Be safe!

Unfortunately EAs rarely think about helping during war, because it's difficult to find cost-effective interventions in a war zone (I think the best time to help was before the invasion started.) The Ukraine situation is especially sad to me, because European countries (or the US) did not offer to directly defend Ukraine before (or after) Putin made his veiled nuclear threat. But I encourage EAs to think about this today, offer ideas, and share relevant news stories and names of trustworthy blog posts and analysis (with summaries).
more likely than not to fall this monthlikely to fall within a few months.... I'm finding it informative to follow @WarSignals, superforecasters, and people they follow, on Twitter.Doctors Without Bordersoperates in Ukraine & Donbas(update)I wonder about the issue of how cost-(in)effective current interventions really are - it's true, that current interventions in the war zone can seem cost-ineffective in terms of immediate help to affected populations, however there is one larger game at play - Russian Federation's (and Belarussian) aggression against Ukraine effectively demolished the current peacekeeping balance in Europe and across the world, and it seems that responding to worldwide defence challenges in case of Russian victory can be much more costly and time/attention consuming, than in case of Ukrainian victory, see a possible analysis here:
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/ukraine/2022-02-18/what-if-russia-wins
Therefore, it seems to me (curious to hear your thoughts), that supporting Ukraine's defence/humanitarian response, even if seems less cost effective at the face value than other possible EA actions, can actually save a lot of money/time/attention in the long-term perspective (not sure how to quantify how it exactly measures up to other existential risks etc., but my first reaction is that with new Cold War going on in case of Russian victory, responding globally to any other existential risks will be much more complex and difficult - however, how one's indivitual contribution/donation plays into all of this is one tricky question).
Michael, I'm very much biased but that's a brilliant point: aggression can't be tolerated and normalised
I do worry about the Free World's response not being strong enough, and I'll be donating to some kind of Ukraine cause regardless of effectiveness. Still, I'm frustrated about not seeing an effective intervention. I'm in Canada btw, and the government is matching all donations to the Canadian Red Cross specifically, but the Red Cross has a "low impact" rating from Charity Intelligence. Hmm. Plus, Canada has generous tax deductions for donations to Canadian charities, so I'll probably dump some money in the CRC even as I doubt its effectiveness.
I worry about follow-on effects. The more easily Putin succeeds in Ukraine, the more Xi Jinping might think he can succeed in Taiwan. The West may have enough resolve to sanction Russia, but sanctioning China would be much harder and many/most countries will be very tempted to defect. If Taiwan is invaded, the free world may weaken and the chance of World War 3 will increase. This historian analysis that I linked above encourages people to demand strong sanctions (I'm glad to see the SWIFT banhammer brought out btw):
Sanctions work much better when everyone acts in unity (though we can assume China will not participate). It concerns me the most that India abstained from supporting the UN resolution against Russian aggression, and has not announced sanctions, and isn't acting even mildly bothered about the invasion AFAICT. But again, I'm not sure EAs have any leverage here beyond the standard "call your representative".
(Best case scenario: sanctions and Ukrainian resistance are severe while Russian military morale is low; Putin reconsiders, and to save face moves all forces to Donbas, claiming that the invasion was a cover and that Donbas was the real target all along. An unlikely outcome, but if anyone can pull that off that pivot, Putin can.)
Here's a recent announcement from MSF concerning their operations in Ukraine:
I interpret that as "we are no longer operating in Ukraine", so modified my post.
thank you @dpiepgrass! the point about spreading out instead of focusing money on the same orgs makes a lot of sense, I've made my company do just that and I'm spreading out my money as well.
another thing I hope I can help my people with is spreading information and generating as much support from other countries as possible