This is a really well-written summary. I especially liked your pointing out that, while it's harder for one protester to make a difference than one voter, demonstrators can *multiply their own influence* (by dressing in costume, writing a clever sign, or doing something else to draw media attention).
Voting is has a rare property among activities; people who do it are forced into a state of absolute equality. Protesting, like most activities, runs on something like the Pareto Principle; the most effective protesters probably have a lot more influence than other protesters.
With the AI windfall, mental health may be taken increasingly seriously by mainstream EA. There’s increasingly room to explore the cause area and answer some of the biggest uncertainties; at the same time, costs of the most effective interventions are continuing to fall. StrongMinds is now treating for ~$35, about a third of GiveWell’s best guess from a few years ago, and is expected to...
Summary: The actions taken this decade may be exceptionally important for the future of civilization, but we should be unusually hesitant to proclaim that any course of action is “best.” Still, we should try to think carefully about how we'll influence the future.
This post was written as part of an introduction to a new reading group I’m starting called “Doing Good in the Age of AGI.” If you want to follow along, the full curriculum can be found ...
This is a really well-written summary. I especially liked your pointing out that, while it's harder for one protester to make a difference than one voter, demonstrators can *multiply their own influence* (by dressing in costume, writing a clever sign, or doing something else to draw media attention).
Voting is has a rare property among activities; people who do it are forced into a state of absolute equality. Protesting, like most activities, runs on something like the Pareto Principle; the most effective protesters probably have a lot more influence than other protesters.