A

Arepo

4005 karmaJoined Sep 2014

Sequences
4

EA advertisements
Courting Virgo
EA Gather Town
Improving EA tech work

Comments
569

Topic contributions
16

I have a stronger version of the same concerns, fwiw. I can't imagine a 'Long Reflection' that didn't involve an extremely repressive government clamping down on private industry every time a company tried to do anything too ambitious, and that didn't effectively promote some caste of philosopher kings above all others to the resentment of the populace. It's hard to believe this could lead to anything other than substantially worse social values.

I also don't see any a priori reason to think 'reflecting' gravitates people towards moral truth or better values. Philosophers have been reflecting for centuries, and there's still very little consensus among them or any particular sign that they're approaching one.

Answer by ArepoMar 02, 20242
0
0

Are there reasonably engaging narrative tropes (or could we invent effective new ones) that could easily be recycled in genre fiction to promote effective altruist principles, in much the same way that e.g. the noble savage trope can easily be used to promote ecocentric philosophies, no-one gets left behind trope promotes localism, etc?

Answer by ArepoMar 02, 20245
1
0

A steel manned version of the best longtermist argument(s) against AI safety as the top priority cause area.

Answer by ArepoMar 02, 20246
1
0

How can we make effective altruism more appealing to political conservatives without alienating engaged liberals? If there is an inevitable trade-off between the two, what is the optimal equilibrium, how close to it are we, and can we get closer?

Answer by ArepoMar 02, 20242
0
0

Write a concrete proposal for a scalable bunker system that would be robust and reliable enough to preserve technological civilisation in the event of human extinction due to e.g. nuclear winter, biopandemics on the surface. How much would it cost? Given that many people assert it would be much easier than settling other planets, why hasn't anyone started building such systems en mass, and how could we remove whatever the blocker is?

Answer by ArepoMar 02, 20247
1
0

Investigating incentives in EA organisations. Is money still the primary incentive? If not, how should we think about the intra-EA economy?

Answer by ArepoMar 02, 20242
0
0

What are the most likely scenarios in which we don't see transformative AI this century or perhaps for even longer? Do they require strong assumptions about (e.g.) theory of mind?

Answer by ArepoMar 02, 20242
0
0

Is there an underunexplored option to fund early stage for-profits that seem to have high potential social value? Might it sometimes be worth funding them in exchange for basically 0 equity so that it's comparatively easy for them to raise further funding the normal way?

Answer by ArepoMar 02, 20244
0
0

If we take utilitarianism at face value, what are the most likely candidates for the physical substrate of 'a utilon'? Is it plausible there are multiple such substrates? Can we usefully speculate on any interesting properties they might have?

Answer by ArepoMar 02, 20242
0
0

Some empirical research into the fragile world hypothesis, in particular with reference to energy return on investment (EROI). Is there a less extreme version of 'The great energy descent' that implies that average societal EROI could stay at sustainable levels but only absent shocks, and that one or two big shocks could push it below that point and make it a) impossible to recover or b) possible to recover but only after such a major restructuring of our economy that it would resemble the collapse of civiliation?

Load more