"I think it's incumbent on us to support each other more to help each other get back to a place where we can earn to give or otherwise have a high impact again." - Do you have any thoughts on what kind of support would be most useful?

Points 1, 2 and 5: These all seem like variants of feedback being good. Seems like if timelines are short, you probably want to take a shot directly at the goal/what needs to be done^[1], even if the feedback mechanism isn't that good. If you don't take the shot, there's no guarantee that anyone else will. Whilst if timelines are longer, your risk tolerance will likely be lower and feedback mechanisms are one key way of reducing this.

Point 3: I expect a large proportion of this to be a founder selection effect.

Point 4: Seems to fall more under more capital which I already acknowledged as going the other way.



 

1. ^{^}

   I suppose this lines up with "greater freedom to focus narrowly on useful work" which you consider outside the scope of the original article, whilst I see this as directly tied to how much we care about feedback.

Let's look at what you wrote under this section and not just the headline.

"They are often difficult to evaluate and lack a natural kill function"

That seems to me like a longer term issue.

A lot of these considerations feel more compelling if AI timelines are long, or at least not short (with capital being the one consideration going the other way).

I wasn't suggesting only hiring people who believe in short-timelines. I believe that my original post adequately lays out my position, but if any points are ambiguous, feel free to request clarification.

The one thing that matters more for this than anything else is setting up an EA hub in a low cost of living area with decent visa options. The thing that matters second most is setting up group houses in high cost of living cities with good networking opportunities.

Agreed. "Value alignment" is a simplified framing.

Maybe I should have. I honestly don't know. I didn't think deeply about it.

I've written a short-form here as well.