I was wondering about how your ROI or "adjusted money raised" translates to other GH metrics, such as GW's "multiples of cash".
If an EGI in OP's portfolio has a average of 6x adjusted return on donation, and assuming the average GW top charity is around 10x as cost effective as direct cash transfers - does that mean you believe an EGI is equivalent in cost-effectiveness to 60x cash? Or is there a downward adjustment that needs to be made when cross-comparing metrics? Would love to hear your thoughts
It seems plausible to me that the value of funding "Abundance and Growth" in the USA is not measured in QALYs, but in supporting a political alternative to Trump and MAGA. The "center-left" vibes might not be a bug, but a feature.
If you think USAID cuts are important, and AI is important, and that Trump is net-negative on both of these, maybe the most impactful thing you can do is support alternative narratives to Trumpism and help ensure he doesn't get re-elected and that you swing the house as far as possible. Of course, it needs sound bi-partisan and not in-your-face, but "Abundance and Growth" is pretty clearly at contrast to the current administrations policies.
This both explains why OP won't publicly their reasoning for this, and why it might be as cost-effective in EV as other options.
I think there's a meme that high impact careers goes something like: "learn about EA -> get involved in EA -> get a high impact job", while for many (most?) people the trajectory is more like "learn about EA -> get involved in EA -> work in something unrelated to EA and feel disillusioned".
Your post hopefully helps fix this misunderstanding.
Animal welfare is just so much more neglected, relative to the scale.
However, I don't go all the way to a strong agree since I think the evidence base is weaker and am less certain of finding good interventions; along with a stronger sense of moral responsibility towards humans; along with a bigger "sentience discount" than other moral comparisons between humans and non-human animals.
What types of influence do you think governments from small, low influence countries will be able to have?
For example, the NZ government - aren't they price-takers when it comes to AI regulation? If you're not a significant player, don't have significant resources to commit to the problem, and don't have any national GenAI companies - how will they influence the development trajectory of AI?
My sense is that what's happening here is that small countries have more cohesive communities, and therefore a larger % of the EA community answers the survey.
Can someone who runs an EA podcast please convert recorded EAG talks to podcast form, so that more people can listen to them? @80000_Hours@hearthisidea@Kat Woods@EA Global (please tag other podcasters in the comments)
The CEA events team seem open to this, but don't have the podcasting expertise or the bandwidth to start a new podcast
(Full disclosure - this is a bit of a selfish ask, I'm attending EAG and want to listen to quite a few talks that I don't have time for, and streaming them on YouTube seems clunky and not great for driving)
This seems great!
I was wondering about how your ROI or "adjusted money raised" translates to other GH metrics, such as GW's "multiples of cash".
If an EGI in OP's portfolio has a average of 6x adjusted return on donation, and assuming the average GW top charity is around 10x as cost effective as direct cash transfers - does that mean you believe an EGI is equivalent in cost-effectiveness to 60x cash? Or is there a downward adjustment that needs to be made when cross-comparing metrics? Would love to hear your thoughts
Speculation only:
It seems plausible to me that the value of funding "Abundance and Growth" in the USA is not measured in QALYs, but in supporting a political alternative to Trump and MAGA. The "center-left" vibes might not be a bug, but a feature.
If you think USAID cuts are important, and AI is important, and that Trump is net-negative on both of these, maybe the most impactful thing you can do is support alternative narratives to Trumpism and help ensure he doesn't get re-elected and that you swing the house as far as possible. Of course, it needs sound bi-partisan and not in-your-face, but "Abundance and Growth" is pretty clearly at contrast to the current administrations policies.
This both explains why OP won't publicly their reasoning for this, and why it might be as cost-effective in EV as other options.
Love this.
I think there's a meme that high impact careers goes something like: "learn about EA -> get involved in EA -> get a high impact job", while for many (most?) people the trajectory is more like "learn about EA -> get involved in EA -> work in something unrelated to EA and feel disillusioned".
Your post hopefully helps fix this misunderstanding.
When is the survey going to be open until? Asking as a group organizer who is planning how to get members to fill in the survey
Animal welfare is just so much more neglected, relative to the scale.
However, I don't go all the way to a strong agree since I think the evidence base is weaker and am less certain of finding good interventions; along with a stronger sense of moral responsibility towards humans; along with a bigger "sentience discount" than other moral comparisons between humans and non-human animals.
What types of influence do you think governments from small, low influence countries will be able to have?
For example, the NZ government - aren't they price-takers when it comes to AI regulation? If you're not a significant player, don't have significant resources to commit to the problem, and don't have any national GenAI companies - how will they influence the development trajectory of AI?
My sense is that what's happening here is that small countries have more cohesive communities, and therefore a larger % of the EA community answers the survey.
Inspiring and touching, thank you for sharing
Wishing you both the best of health going forward
Edit: it seems like this already exists! @Aaron Bergman can you confirm?
Can someone who runs an EA podcast please convert recorded EAG talks to podcast form, so that more people can listen to them? @80000_Hours @hearthisidea @Kat Woods @EA Global (please tag other podcasters in the comments)
The CEA events team seem open to this, but don't have the podcasting expertise or the bandwidth to start a new podcast
(Full disclosure - this is a bit of a selfish ask, I'm attending EAG and want to listen to quite a few talks that I don't have time for, and streaming them on YouTube seems clunky and not great for driving)
Thanks Ollie, makes a lot of sense