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Matthew_Barnett

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Some useful context is that I think a software singularity is unlikely to occur; see this blog post for some arguments. Loosely speaking, under the view expressed in the linked blog post, there aren't extremely large gains from automating software engineering tasks beyond the fact that these tasks represent a significant (and growing) fraction of white collar labor by wage bill.

Even if I thought a software singularity will likely happen in the future, I don't think this type of work would be bad in expectation, as I continue to think that accelerating AI is likely good for the world. My main argument is that speeding up AI development will hasten large medical, technological, and economic benefits to people alive today, without predictably causing long-term harms large enough to outweigh these clear benefits. For anyone curious about my views, I've explained my perspective on this issue at length on this forum and elsewhere.

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