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I am interested to form a better view of EA community growth/contraction and was wondering whether there are any models/forecasts on this?

I extrapolated from past trends (e.g. funding and job placement data) but this seems a poor method given the events of the last months, so I am wondering if better attempts exist. Until now I only found scattered comments on plausible effects from the events but no integration attempt.




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Not community growth per se, but I asked a similar question about community health that got some interesting answers: What are some measurable proxies for community health? 

Thanks for that, Michel! Did you implement any of the suggestions?

Sadly not, but would love to see someone take them on. 

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