How do you deal with fear of missing out / fear of better option when picking projects. I struggle with this a lot. I am a curious person who is always trying to improve, I am maximizer in most contexts. It allows me to have an open mind, to prevent tunnel vision.

At the same time it prevents me of making a decision, I always try to find a way how to improve my chances, how to find my cooperative advantage etc but I am in my early 30s, so I want to optimize for an impact. I am web developer so my skills are in demand and I can work on different areas(good problem to have), but obviously this just opens other options to me.

So generally I know my direction - better internet / web applications but possibilities how to approach this problem are endless. Also, I still like to have a place for other intellectual stuff like, EA, philosophy, business etc


There are few things which I try to do like:

  • to accept there are limitation and drawbacks. I accept I can't eat all the flavors of the ice cream and I can't just skip from project to project.
  • use decision process like DECIDE framework
  • get away from environment like social media which make this worse.
  • plan ahead. When I search for some information I try to search it to solve specific problem rather than going through intellectual rabbit hole. I still leave some space for random info to get outside of my bubble, but I try to limit it. No new podcasts, no new books(rather reread classics), limit news etc.
  • appreciate existing options more, there is a lot we can be all thankful for and I found my self taking for granted my job
  • channel the energy to some side project. For example, I love exploring new ideas, so I can write simple blog about them or share them on twitter
  • get inspiration from craftsmen . I love watching jiro dreams of sushi, or The Last Dance, where you can see the appreciation for the craft.
  • get a time to stay back -> meditation, going offline to nature etc

5

0
0

Reactions

0
0
Comments7


Sorted by Click to highlight new comments since:

Hi Smer, I admittedly find it a little difficult to answer your question as it seems you raise a few different ones. Is it correct that your main struggle right now is to decide where to move your career, as you have a lot of different options and don't know which one to take? Or is that just one example, and you're more interested in the very general issue of finding it difficult to make decisions in the first place?

If it's the former, then I believe a more in-depth (maybe coaching kind of) conversation could be more fruitful here than a forum post, as I'm not sure broad answers to your post's title will be very applicable to your concrete situation. Also you mention a lot of things which you're already trying, but I find it difficult to see them in context as you didn't provide any notes on which ones of those work for you, and in what ways they already contribute (or not) to the central problem.

Anyway, just to try to add my two cents to the "how to deal with FOMO"-question, which I can relate to rather well as I'm also a 30-ish web developer often struggling with making decisions:

  • I personally have the impression I'll just have to get used to living with the feeling of "what if this decision I'm making is not the best one?" - especially for big decisions that feeling will be there no matter what, so I might as well take it for what it is (a matter of subjective experience of uncertainty, and not actual evidence of the decision being suboptimal)
  • delays caused by postponed decisions usually come at a cost, so quick suboptimal decisions are often better than ideal decisions made (too) late
  • I sometimes use the book Decisive (or rather summaries thereof) to aid my decision-making, although I have a feeling it's often only more about about raising my confidence in a decision than about actually finding the best one
  • The author of Algorithms to Live By makes the point that real world problems are often too complex to properly solve, and that it makes sense to artificially relax these problems into easier ones so we can find suboptimal but still pretty good solutions. That's mostly with regards to travelling salesman kinds of problems, and may or may not apply to personal decisionmaking.
  • Career considerations may be a category where premature decisions come at a high cost, so here it really makes sense to spend a lot of time thinking them through thoroughly. Which probably includes discussing them with others. I'm not sure if 80,000 hours still offers 1-on-1 career consultation, but if they do, that may be a good thing to try, and if they don't I'm sure there are other people from the EA community who'd be willing to help out as well.

Thank you, main struggle is FOBO in the context of career. I have a problem with FOBO in different contexts too, but not as much because as you pointed out career choice has a huge impact. I might look for career consultation for sure. 80000 hours career advice services is overwhelmed right now AFAIK so I might need to look somewhere else.

PS: Given you are web developer what's your opinion on having an impact as web developer?

Depends on a lot on job you have, but I work for dev house so impact I have depends on project I am assigned to. Many times it means low impact CRUD apps, work which can be either done by anyone or work on a products which fill really likely fail and code and your work will be thrown away with it. Solutions I could think up is:

1. Try to work on your own product(where you at least get upside from the risk) which is obviously though.

2. Work on open source projects although this takes a lot my limited free time which I like to spend other interests.

3. Find a diff company with more impactful role, which I am actively looking for.

(Meta-note: I recommend using the Question feature if you publish future posts that ask a question of the Forum's community. Just select "New Question" instead of "New Post" when you go to compose the post.)

If you're trying to figure out how to find an impactful EA web development project, why not post about this on the Forum and/or in large EA Facebook groups (e.g. EA Hangout)? 

A Forum post soliciting ideas for EA web development projects may bring in some interesting options; in that post, you can also discuss projects you've worked on in the past, as well as some of your own ideas, so that people can make more specific suggestions. Same goes for an EA Hangout post.

Here's the page for the Forum's "Get Involved" tag. Tags are very new here and not all relevant posts are covered, but that should be a good start for checking out project ideas other people have had (specifically, using the "lists of project ideas" posts on that page).

Thank you Aaron! I will take a look.

PS: weren't there some chat room for EA software developers?

You might enjoy the episode "Thinking in Bets" on the Rationally Speaking podcast (or the book by the same name).

Although it can't fully eliminate FOMO, it can help you to feel less regret if you took a risk and it didn't work out.

http://rationallyspeakingpodcast.org/show/rs-208-annie-duke-on-thinking-in-bets.html

Thank you , was planning to read the book for quite some time and I will check the podcast.

Curated and popular this week
 ·  · 16m read
 · 
At the last EAG Bay Area, I gave a workshop on navigating a difficult job market, which I repeated days ago at EAG London. A few people have asked for my notes and slides, so I’ve decided to share them here.  This is the slide deck I used.   Below is a low-effort loose transcript, minus the interactive bits (you can see these on the slides in the form of reflection and discussion prompts with a timer). In my opinion, some interactive elements were rushed because I stubbornly wanted to pack too much into the session. If you’re going to re-use them, I recommend you allow for more time than I did if you can (and if you can’t, I empathise with the struggle of making difficult trade-offs due to time constraints).  One of the benefits of written communication over spoken communication is that you can be very precise and comprehensive. I’m sorry that those benefits are wasted on this post. Ideally, I’d have turned my speaker notes from the session into a more nuanced written post that would include a hundred extra points that I wanted to make and caveats that I wanted to add. Unfortunately, I’m a busy person, and I’ve come to accept that such a post will never exist. So I’m sharing this instead as a MVP that I believe can still be valuable –certainly more valuable than nothing!  Introduction 80,000 Hours’ whole thing is asking: Have you considered using your career to have an impact? As an advisor, I now speak with lots of people who have indeed considered it and very much want it – they don't need persuading. What they need is help navigating a tough job market. I want to use this session to spread some messages I keep repeating in these calls and create common knowledge about the job landscape.  But first, a couple of caveats: 1. Oh my, I wonder if volunteering to run this session was a terrible idea. Giving advice to one person is difficult; giving advice to many people simultaneously is impossible. You all have different skill sets, are at different points in
 ·  · 47m read
 · 
Thank you to Arepo and Eli Lifland for looking over this article for errors.  I am sorry that this article is so long. Every time I thought I was done with it I ran into more issues with the model, and I wanted to be as thorough as I could. I’m not going to blame anyone for skimming parts of this article.  Note that the majority of this article was written before Eli’s updated model was released (the site was updated june 8th). His new model improves on some of my objections, but the majority still stand.   Introduction: AI 2027 is an article written by the “AI futures team”. The primary piece is a short story penned by Scott Alexander, depicting a month by month scenario of a near-future where AI becomes superintelligent in 2027,proceeding to automate the entire economy in only a year or two and then either kills us all or does not kill us all, depending on government policies.  What makes AI 2027 different from other similar short stories is that it is presented as a forecast based on rigorous modelling and data analysis from forecasting experts. It is accompanied by five appendices of “detailed research supporting these predictions” and a codebase for simulations. They state that “hundreds” of people reviewed the text, including AI expert Yoshua Bengio, although some of these reviewers only saw bits of it. The scenario in the short story is not the median forecast for any AI futures author, and none of the AI2027 authors actually believe that 2027 is the median year for a singularity to happen. But the argument they make is that 2027 is a plausible year, and they back it up with images of sophisticated looking modelling like the following: This combination of compelling short story and seemingly-rigorous research may have been the secret sauce that let the article to go viral and be treated as a serious project:To quote the authors themselves: It’s been a crazy few weeks here at the AI Futures Project. Almost a million people visited our webpage; 166,00
 ·  · 32m read
 · 
Authors: Joel McGuire (analysis, drafts) and Lily Ottinger (editing)  Formosa: Fulcrum of the Future? An invasion of Taiwan is uncomfortably likely and potentially catastrophic. We should research better ways to avoid it.   TLDR: I forecast that an invasion of Taiwan increases all the anthropogenic risks by ~1.5% (percentage points) of a catastrophe killing 10% or more of the population by 2100 (nuclear risk by 0.9%, AI + Biorisk by 0.6%). This would imply it constitutes a sizable share of the total catastrophic risk burden expected over the rest of this century by skilled and knowledgeable forecasters (8% of the total risk of 20% according to domain experts and 17% of the total risk of 9% according to superforecasters). I think this means that we should research ways to cost-effectively decrease the likelihood that China invades Taiwan. This could mean exploring the prospect of advocating that Taiwan increase its deterrence by investing in cheap but lethal weapons platforms like mines, first-person view drones, or signaling that mobilized reserves would resist an invasion. Disclaimer I read about and forecast on topics related to conflict as a hobby (4th out of 3,909 on the Metaculus Ukraine conflict forecasting competition, 73 out of 42,326 in general on Metaculus), but I claim no expertise on the topic. I probably spent something like ~40 hours on this over the course of a few months. Some of the numbers I use may be slightly outdated, but this is one of those things that if I kept fiddling with it I'd never publish it.  Acknowledgements: I heartily thank Lily Ottinger, Jeremy Garrison, Maggie Moss and my sister for providing valuable feedback on previous drafts. Part 0: Background The Chinese Civil War (1927–1949) ended with the victorious communists establishing the People's Republic of China (PRC) on the mainland. The defeated Kuomintang (KMT[1]) retreated to Taiwan in 1949 and formed the Republic of China (ROC). A dictatorship during the cold war, T