Michael Nielsen has a beautiful new essay on moral imagination: the ability humans have to 'develop and transmit new notions of good action, indeed, even new kinds of good'.
As examples, he gives:
* Hammurabi's creation of a code of laws (in 1754 BCE) and his justification of his rule not in terms of divine or hereditary right, but by the delivery of justice to his citizens.
* St Gregory of Nyssa's...
Epistemic status: Speculation from two decently informed advocates armed with anecdata.
Note on process: After having some version of this conversation several times and saying, “we should probably write about this publicly,” we took the less heroic route: we recorded one of our conversations, fed the transcript into an LLM, and then substantially revised the structure, substance, and framing ourselves. We will not be sharing the transcript, as it is in...
A preliminary estimate, and a request for better ones.
Summary
I believe the standard literature estimates for the number of DALYs attributable to a case of stunting are too low, largely because they don’t account for the long term effects. This means that childhood nutritional interventions that reduce the prevalence of stunting may be substantially more cost-effective than previously believed.
Epistemic status
Exploratory and back-o...
Summary: Thinking out loud about the J space paper’s implications on future animal welfare research (if there are any). I don’t know much about LLMs or brains or animals but I’d love to chat about this stuff with anyone at my same level of smartness, or learn from folks who know things.
It would be good to have some people thinking about the J-space paper and what, if anything, it has to do with animal welfare. A popular question about animal brains is “what’s going on in there?”. If we get some vague notions about the conditions and size ranges where neural nets act like global workspaces, it might give us some order of magnitude estimates and fuzzy intuitions about what sizes and types of animal brains exhibit those properties.
Some questions that seem interesting:
Maybe effective utilization of J-space requires slack in pretraining in addition to scale. Perhaps you get room to develop this stuff from excess compute when you’ve hit diminishing returns from hardcoding more explicit methods for the tasks you handle.
or (more likely?) the opposite is true - the need to address a broad task range with limited compute forces many workstreams to share computational resources, resulting in abstraction, resulting in segmentation of the abstract stuff from the concrete stuff. Which resource availability helps you grow a good workspace? Lots of free parameters, or not enough? First one then the other?
What model organisms are the most “animal-like” if we want to vary parameters and look at their effect on the usefulness and recognizability of access consciousness? None are great analogues, but what’s the closest we can get?
Do the ablation experiments in the J-space paper map onto lesioning experiments in different parts of animal brains?