Neglectedness is often a trap.
If nobody is working on a problem, there's usually a reason:
- It's not a real problem
- It's already solved - you just don't know it yet
- There's some other reason not to work on it (e.g. nobody will fund it)
Heuristics for finding good problems others will miss
- You could realistically be the best in the world at it, even with 100+ people working on it. Rewards (money, status, influence) go disproportionately to the best people in a space. You can channel those rewards into impact.
- It's high-risk, high-reward. Most people are overly risk-averse.
- It takes a long time (people overly discount the future) and has a strong feedback loop, so you know you're actually making progress.
- Solving it would cost the incumbents money. Permanent solutions threaten expensive, recurring short-term ones e.g. if Ozempic's makers had a one-shot vaccine with the same effect, they wouldn't sell it.
- You can otherwise establish that people avoid it for non-impact reasons (e.g. it's low status, boring)
- Only powerless entities have the problem e.g. animals, people in extreme poverty).
- Existing solutions are terrible but still widely used. strong validation that it's a big problem.
do you have any criteria for impact? Programmable matter? Fusion? microfission? batteries? novel wireless? new materials in general? droneswarms? autoresearchers?
No real criteria, am open to anything (being an undergrad, I think I have sometime to explore).