PEAR Book Club: Superforecasting Week 2

Paul Edward Dollete

PEAR Book Club: Superforecasting Week 2

Paul Edward Dollete

1 min readNov 3, 2021

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Sam Celarek

Here is the link to the discord server! https://discord.gg/RHAFm6eP5N

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113

What would make us scale or stop? NOVAH's pre-commitment before seeing the RCT results

I.J.J., AlexisAt·5d ago·Curated 3d ago·8m read

TL;DR NOVAH (No Violence At Home) was incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship (now Ambitious Impact) in 2024 to test a promising idea: preventing intimate partner violence through edutainment, in our case a serialised radio drama. Over the past two years we have produced and aired two seasons in Rwanda. We are currently evaluating our second season through a randomized controlled trial with 2,400 couples in Rwanda in partnership wi...

110

EA Funds is launching the Transformative AI Fund

Lowe Lundin·5d ago·10m read

TL;DR * The Long-Term Future Fund is closing down, and EA Funds is launching the Transformative AI Fund with a new full-time team. * The fund's primary focus is technical AI safety and AI governance (including post-AGI governance), as well as supporting fields such as field-building and forecasting. We'll also consider non-GCR implications of transformative AI such as flourishing futures and digital...

Closing the LTFF, Spending Down Funds, and a New AI Fund at EA Funds

calebp·5d ago·8m read

The current Long Term Future Fund (LTFF) fund managers and I have decided to step back from our work on the LTFF. Because we believe LTFF donors trusted the fund managers to ensure that the funds would be used in line with the purposes of their donation, we've decided the right move is to close the fund. While LTFF is closing, note that EA Funds has launched a new fund...

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