Wow this seems huge. I wonder if buying these eggs is actually good from an animal welfare perspective?
Firstly, as you say, it might help make others adopt this technology.
But even putting that aside, I wonder if supporting these eggs could be directly good for welfare. The main problems with eggs from a welfare perspective is the culling of male chicks and the often terrible conditions egg-laying hens are kept in (e.g. battery cages). If neither of these things apply, as is the case with NestFresh Humanely Hatched Pasture-raised eggs, you could just be supporting happy lives by buying these eggs.
The Animal Futures Tournament on Metaculus includes a question closely related to this post: What percentage of the US hen flock will be sexed with in-ovo sexing technology in Q1 2027? The tournament also includes the analogous EU hen-flock question.
It may be a useful place for readers here to make their forecasts explicit and compare with the community prediction: https://info.unjournal.org/forecasting-tournament/
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