Comments
143
BLUF:
* To determine whether AI is ‘improving exponentially’, ‘hitting the wall’, or any other claim which involves a quantity or magnitude (e.g. ‘This model was a big leap/small increment’). We need a good y-axis: an interval scale of AI capability which means +1 unit always represents the same degree of ‘how much better’, in the same way +1 degree Celsius is always the same amount of ‘how much hotter’.
* Yet there is no good y-axis for AI capability. All our...
This has some discussion of space weather hardening costs. This has costs for EMP hardening.
Thank you! I'm a big fan of your work on nuclear war resilience.
While this article is pretty good about describing what costs are imposed by solar flares, it doesn't get at the cost of hardening. Do you think there is an actual numerical estimate anywhere?
Thanks! There's this estimate in the LW article: