Amazing writeup! Really interesting and well-written.
I decided to crosspost it to Manifold Markets and created a prediction market. You state that you estimate a 50% chance short sleeper genes work as advertised. Curious to see what other people think!
If you have any suggestions on how the resolution criteria or anything else can be more well-defined let me know and I can make adjustments to the market.
Thanks for the feedback! I've updated the title accordingly.
Amazing writeup! Really interesting and well-written.
I decided to crosspost it to Manifold Markets and created a prediction market. You state that you estimate a 50% chance short sleeper genes work as advertised. Curious to see what other people think!
If you have any suggestions on how the resolution criteria or anything else can be more well-defined let me know and I can make adjustments to the market.