Could you explain a bit more about the kind of data you think will be needed to train an AGI, and why you think this will not be available in the next hundred years? I'm genuinely interested, actually I'd love to be convinced about the opposite... We can also DM if you prefer.
So although we seem to be relatively close in terms of compute, we don't have the right algorithms yet for AGI, and no one knows if and when they will be found. If no one knows, I'd say a certainty of 99% that they won't be found in hundred years, with thousands of people trying, is overconfident.
Could you explain a bit more about the kind of data you think will be needed to train an AGI, and why you think this will not be available in the next hundred years? I'm genuinely interested, actually I'd love to be convinced about the opposite... We can also DM if you prefer.
So although we seem to be relatively close in terms of compute, we don't have the right algorithms yet for AGI, and no one knows if and when they will be found. If no one knows, I'd say a certainty of 99% that they won't be found in hundred years, with thousands of people trying, is overconfident.