My forecast predicts that the supply of GLP-1s will increase from eight million patient-years to roughly enough for approximately 23 million Americans by 2030.
Giving What We Can is about to hit 10,000 pledgers. (9935 at the time of writing)
If you're on the fence and wanna be in the 4 digit club, consider very carefully whether you should make the pledge! An important reminder that Earning to Give is a valid way to engage with EA.
I think 'I could use this time more effectively to help other people'. And then I don't!
This is the key one to meditate on.
For me at least signing the giving pledge was a year of internalising that I have these values and I must eat them. Otherwise these aren't my values after all. Likewise for the standards of being a good friend, father, flutist etc.
Fortunately, GiveWell has agreed for me to post their response to my post on Independent Evaluation for Reputation; you can find it at the end of the post.
Reaping the benefits of AGI later is pretty insignificant in my opinion. If we get aligned AGI utopia, we will have utopia for millions of years. Acceleration by a few years if negligible if it increase p(doom) by >1%.
This is not true depending on what you think AGI utopia will look like. There's some math outlined in What We Owe the Future about this dilemma i.e. area under the curve of these hypothetical AGI utility functions.
∫∞02(x+1),dx∫∞02x,dx=2
Getting utopia 1 year faster creates a 2x better universe. (hypothetically)
"Ozempic will be good for animals"
https://asteriskmag.com/issues/07/how-long-til-were-all-on-ozempic
Some numbers for emphasis on overconsumption of protein (I'm far from a nutritionist):
A 170 pound man eating 170g protein. Assuming 2400 calories per day that is 28% of calories as protein.
That is more than the recommended quote above
Giving What We Can is about to hit 10,000 pledgers. (9935 at the time of writing)
If you're on the fence and wanna be in the 4 digit club, consider very carefully whether you should make the pledge! An important reminder that Earning to Give is a valid way to engage with EA.
How robust is the funding and quality of the data sources, are they at risk in the near future?
might be good reading to refer to previous contexts
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scrupulosity
haha I was hoping to provoke some discussion on the huge difference I found.
Otherwise, an email to Wren is free to write.
How much time/money were spent on these initiatives would you estimate as a percentage?
Is this due to more recent funding constraints?
Cool topic.
This is the key one to meditate on.
For me at least signing the giving pledge was a year of internalising that I have these values and I must eat them. Otherwise these aren't my values after all. Likewise for the standards of being a good friend, father, flutist etc.
Fortunately, GiveWell has agreed for me to post their response to my post on Independent Evaluation for Reputation; you can find it at the end of the post.
This is not true depending on what you think AGI utopia will look like. There's some math outlined in What We Owe the Future about this dilemma i.e. area under the curve of these hypothetical AGI utility functions.
∫∞02(x+1),dx∫∞02x,dx=2
Getting utopia 1 year faster creates a 2x better universe. (hypothetically)