Giving What We Can is about to hit 10,000 pledgers. (9935 at the time of writing)
If you're on the fence and wanna be in the 4 digit club, consider very carefully whether you should make the pledge! An important reminder that Earning to Give is a valid way to engage with EA.
Fortunately, GiveWell has agreed for me to post their response to my post on Independent Evaluation for Reputation; you can find it at the end of the post.
Crossposted to Less Wrong
‘Like most of life’s dangers, the dangers of artificial intelligence are not easily identified from the armchair.’
J Dmitri Gallow
Epistemic status
I’m not an expert in this field, and herein I make some sweeping generalisations educated guesses about the overall...
Let’s imagine it’s November 2031. We’re both still here, AI is much more capable than it is today, but governments are governing, civilisation is still (mostly) civilised, and there has been no catastrophic loss of control. It just kind of didn’t happen.Â
What happens to the AI safety field then?Â
I expect people who currently believe catastrophe could happen within two or three years will start saying five or ten years. Then 15. Then ‘who cares if we’re a few decades of...
Thanks to Bruce Friedrich, Seth Ariel Green, Tobias Leenaert, Jan Willem Bolderdijk, Martine van Haperen, Herman Rohrbach, Chris Popa and Elizabeth Alvarez for comments. Claude helped structure the text. Ideas and mistakes are my own. I currently work with ProVeg International. The prize I propose would be defined and judged by an independent committee, and its money would fund scaling the winning solution(s), not ProVeg or the winner.
TL/DR
* EA could d...
Giving What We Can is about to hit 10,000 pledgers. (9935 at the time of writing)
If you're on the fence and wanna be in the 4 digit club, consider very carefully whether you should make the pledge! An important reminder that Earning to Give is a valid way to engage with EA.
(FWIW, if you pledge today, your pledger number will be in the 10,200s, as a number of pledgers have rescinded their pledge—so no fun status benefits 😛)