Thanks for experimenting with different formats, Toby! However, my guess is that the difference in length between the short and normal version of the EA Forum Digest was not sufficiently large to accurately assess the value of having a shorter one. It would arguably be better to test having 2 versions during weeks with many unusually high quality posts.
You are welcome! If there are many unusually high quality posts, I assume the normal digest will be longer, and therefore there will be a greater difference in length between the normal and short digest.
Crossposted to Less Wrong
‘Like most of life’s dangers, the dangers of artificial intelligence are not easily identified from the armchair.’
J Dmitri Gallow
Epistemic status
I’m not an expert in this field, and herein I make some sweeping generalisations educated guesses about the overall...
Let’s imagine it’s November 2031. We’re both still here, AI is much more capable than it is today, but governments are governing, civilisation is still (mostly) civilised, and there has been no catastrophic loss of control. It just kind of didn’t happen.
What happens to the AI safety field then?
I expect people who currently believe catastrophe could happen within two or three years will start saying five or ten years. Then 15. Then ‘who cares if we’re a few decades of...
Thanks to Bruce Friedrich, Seth Ariel Green, Tobias Leenaert, Jan Willem Bolderdijk, Martine van Haperen, Herman Rohrbach, Chris Popa and Elizabeth Alvarez for comments. Claude helped structure the text. Ideas and mistakes are my own. I currently work with ProVeg International. The prize I propose would be defined and judged by an independent committee, and its money would fund scaling the winning solution(s), not ProVeg or the winner.
TL/DR
* EA could d...
Thanks for experimenting with different formats, Toby! However, my guess is that the difference in length between the short and normal version of the EA Forum Digest was not sufficiently large to accurately assess the value of having a shorter one. It would arguably be better to test having 2 versions during weeks with many unusually high quality posts.
Hey Vasco, thanks! Would you mind expanding on why it would be good to run the test during weeks with many unusually high quality posts?
You are welcome! If there are many unusually high quality posts, I assume the normal digest will be longer, and therefore there will be a greater difference in length between the normal and short digest.