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This post is co-authored with Ben Garfinkel. It is cross-posted from the CEA blog. A PDF version can be found here.
Summary: Some strategic decisions available to the effective altruism m...
An Ezra Klein take on 4 key macro dynamics: Trumpism 2.0 (vastly different than first go around - already seeing many of the country's most important media/business powerbases bend the knee); AI (accelerating capabilities/timelines); climate change (even beyond model projections); and declining birthrates (likely to add to resource scarcity and conflict). Useful (but that could be just b/c aligns with my views!); I would add others, including other potential drivers of international conflict and, most important, the displacement of epistemic institutions that will be needed to mitigate risk/harm from any of the above.