Evening. I'm expecting to donate 30k to charity this year. I enjoy the resource on TheLifeYouCanSave.org that calculates your impact in terms of outcomes--8 people saved if money given to the Against Malaria Foundation, etc--but I was wondering if there's a calculator that estimates in terms of Disability-Adjusted Life-Years (DALYs) in a similar way?
I'm not aware of a calculator that estimates DALYs based on charitable donations. However, there are calculators you can use to estimate the DALY impact of a disease on someone, so you could combine one of those with The Life You Can Save's calculator to get a DALY estimate.
This is the best-looking DALY calculator I could find. Unfortunately, I think you need to enter an "age of premature death" to use it. But if you enter a number like 130 for a non-lethal disease, the impact of the "premature death" basically zeroes out, and you can see info about disability weights and so on. It's kind of clumsy, but seems like a reasonable thing to try.
Crossposted to Less Wrong
‘Like most of life’s dangers, the dangers of artificial intelligence are not easily identified from the armchair.’
J Dmitri Gallow
Epistemic status
I’m not an expert in this field, and herein I make some sweeping generalisations educated guesses about the overall...
Let’s imagine it’s November 2031. We’re both still here, AI is much more capable than it is today, but governments are governing, civilisation is still (mostly) civilised, and there has been no catastrophic loss of control. It just kind of didn’t happen.
What happens to the AI safety field then?
I expect people who currently believe catastrophe could happen within two or three years will start saying five or ten years. Then 15. Then ‘who cares if we’re a few decades of...
Thanks to Bruce Friedrich, Seth Ariel Green, Tobias Leenaert, Jan Willem Bolderdijk, Martine van Haperen, Herman Rohrbach, Chris Popa and Elizabeth Alvarez for comments. Claude helped structure the text. Ideas and mistakes are my own. I currently work with ProVeg International. The prize I propose would be defined and judged by an independent committee, and its money would fund scaling the winning solution(s), not ProVeg or the winner.
TL/DR
* EA could d...
Evening. I'm expecting to donate 30k to charity this year. I enjoy the resource on TheLifeYouCanSave.org that calculates your impact in terms of outcomes--8 people saved if money given to the Against Malaria Foundation, etc--but I was wondering if there's a calculator that estimates in terms of Disability-Adjusted Life-Years (DALYs) in a similar way?
I'm not aware of a calculator that estimates DALYs based on charitable donations. However, there are calculators you can use to estimate the DALY impact of a disease on someone, so you could combine one of those with The Life You Can Save's calculator to get a DALY estimate.
This is the best-looking DALY calculator I could find. Unfortunately, I think you need to enter an "age of premature death" to use it. But if you enter a number like 130 for a non-lethal disease, the impact of the "premature death" basically zeroes out, and you can see info about disability weights and so on. It's kind of clumsy, but seems like a reasonable thing to try.