Critique of pursuing systemic change. How hard is it to figure out what systemic changes will make things better?
This is partly an expression of disagreement with others in EA who have embraced systemic change, which was itself partly a response to criticisms like those in the Boston Review
Is effective altruism a question or an ideology, or both?
Making decisions under moral uncertainty - Placing credence in multiple ethical systems leads to questions of moral uncertainty when the two ethical systems disagree. This post summarizes the problem and suggests ways to resolve such issues. (16 mins.)
Pascal’s MuggingCritique of the application of expected value theory. How do you deal with very low probability events that would be disastrous if they took place? (5 mins.)
Ethical Systems - Check out other ethical systems not discussed yet in the program. Which ones resonate most with you? (Varies)
The Repugnant Conclusion - Total utilitarianism (maximizing overall wellbeing) implies that it’s better to have many many beings with infinitesimally positive wellbeing to a smaller number of beings that are all extremely well off. Some people find this counterintuitive, but there’s significant debate on this. (Video - 6 mins.)
Utility monster - Another thought experiment suggesting that trying to maximize wellbeing may have counterintuitive implications (5 mins.)
The bullet-swallowers - Scott Aaronson describes how some theories (like EA) force you to either swallow some tough conclusions or dodge them by contorting the theory. (2 mins.)
Funding and Cause prioritization
The flow of funding in EA movement building (In this piece, data on funding for different cause areas within EA was collected and analyzed. It’s important to note that funding is only one of many ways we could determine what the EA movement currently prioritizes, and other sources (such as the EA Survey) might show other results.) (12 mins.)
A preliminary estimate, and a request for better ones.
Summary
I believe the standard literature estimates for the number of DALYs attributable to a case of stunting are too low, largely because they don’t account for the long term effects. This means that childhood nutritional interventions that reduce the prevalence of stunting may be substantially more cost-effective than previously believed.
Epistemic status
Exploratory and back-o...
Note: This post was crossposted from Planned Obsolescence by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.
Subtitle: It’s a major warning shot, and might be the last one we get
All opinions are my personal view, and don’t represent my employer or fellow investigators.
This week, METR and Redwood Research published...
Overview
This post summarizes a new preprint on alternative proteins from the Humane and Sustainable Food Lab: New alternatives, same orders. We investigated 19...