Critique of pursuing systemic change. How hard is it to figure out what systemic changes will make things better?
This is partly an expression of disagreement with others in EA who have embraced systemic change, which was itself partly a response to criticisms like those in the Boston Review
Is effective altruism a question or an ideology, or both?
Making decisions under moral uncertainty - Placing credence in multiple ethical systems leads to questions of moral uncertainty when the two ethical systems disagree. This post summarizes the problem and suggests ways to resolve such issues. (16 mins.)
Pascal’s MuggingCritique of the application of expected value theory. How do you deal with very low probability events that would be disastrous if they took place? (5 mins.)
Ethical Systems - Check out other ethical systems not discussed yet in the program. Which ones resonate most with you? (Varies)
The Repugnant Conclusion - Total utilitarianism (maximizing overall wellbeing) implies that it’s better to have many many beings with infinitesimally positive wellbeing to a smaller number of beings that are all extremely well off. Some people find this counterintuitive, but there’s significant debate on this. (Video - 6 mins.)
Utility monster - Another thought experiment suggesting that trying to maximize wellbeing may have counterintuitive implications (5 mins.)
The bullet-swallowers - Scott Aaronson describes how some theories (like EA) force you to either swallow some tough conclusions or dodge them by contorting the theory. (2 mins.)
Funding and Cause prioritization
The flow of funding in EA movement building (In this piece, data on funding for different cause areas within EA was collected and analyzed. It’s important to note that funding is only one of many ways we could determine what the EA movement currently prioritizes, and other sources (such as the EA Survey) might show other results.) (12 mins.)
BLUF:
* To determine whether AI is ‘improving exponentially’, ‘hitting the wall’, or any other claim which involves a quantity or magnitude (e.g. ‘This model was a big leap/small increment’). We need a good y-axis: an interval scale of AI capability which means +1 unit always represents the same degree of ‘how much better’, in the same way +1 degree Celsius is always the same amount of ‘how much hotter’.
* Yet there is no good y-axis for AI capability. All our...
Summary
* The animal welfare movement has already seen an influx in funding and should prepare for the possibility of more.
* The EA Animal Welfare Fund is encouraging those working in animal advocacy to actively set aside time and resources now to concretely plan for scaling sustainably, and we’ll support you in doing that.
* We’re requesting advocates set concrete ambitious goals and submit plans t...
Public service announcement
1. Applications are now open for our first ever round of the Charity Entrepreneurship Incubation Program dedicated exclusively to animal welfare. Learn more about what’s different this round here and apply...