see mzuo.ca/about
Also on LW.
These are some very important points, thanks for taking the time to write them out.
I just made an account here, though I've only ever commented on LW before, just to stress how important and vital it is to soberly assess the change in incentives. Because even the best have strengths and weaknesses that need to be adapted to.
"Show me the incentives and I will show you the outcome" - Charlie Munger
This doesn’t seem realistic.
Exceptionally capable people are not usually so capable simultaneously in all dimensions.
The distribution for any specific individual is typically very lumpy (as everyone that I’ve heard of who goes to Lighthaven says), so a perfect or near-perfect “bad advice” filter simply doesnt exist for most.