shrug that's fine, I don't mind the downvotes, but can we also enforce epistemic standards along with niceness? The above comment is refuting a strawman while not engaging with the rate of increase of AI capabilities which are the crux of the post.

And when a strong candidate turns down a CG offer, the result is often not “a slightly-less-good grantmaker," it’s just one fewer grantmaker. We routinely close rounds with fewer hires than we'd planned for.

Why? Shouldn't you make an offer to the runner-up?

Ultimately, it is better to debate the merits of specific interventions than general vibes.

Huh? Weren't you quiting a job to start an org to fix the vibes?

How can I refer a candidate to you?

Your point number 3 is counterproductive and reduces the effectiveness of your donations. It's understandable to do that if the alternative is that you wouldn't give the money away at all, but if charitable opportunities are really power-law distributed in effectiveness (which I think is directionally correct) then you're reducing the good done by your donations by >55%.

FRI has informed decisions on frontier AI companies' capability scaling policies

Their scaling policies are not very good (or are ignored in favor of profits and increased scaling) so I don't see how this is a win for forecasting. Unless you're saying they would be even worse without FRI, which I don't think is true (they'd probably behave the same regardless).

What would you say in response to a conservative abortion clinic protestor who makes the same argument you're making? "It was ethically necessary for me to kidnap the doctor who was about to start their shift at Planned Parenthood. Yes, it's normally illegal to kidnap people, but those babies* were in imminent danger of being killed by the doctor, and it's permissible to break laws to avoid a forseeable imminent harm." (*The conservative protestor believes that fetuses have equal moral status to babies, the same way you and I believe that pigs have equal moral status to dogs.)

Is this offer still open? I'll try it next weekend.

What happens with on-screen info? How are you ensuring that e.g. credit card numbers don't get leaked if there's a data breach?