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BLUF:
* To determine whether AI is ‘improving exponentially’, ‘hitting the wall’, or any other claim which involves a quantity or magnitude (e.g. ‘This model was a big leap/small increment’). We need a good y-axis: an interval scale of AI capability which means +1 unit always represents the same degree of ‘how much better’, in the same way +1 degree Celsius is always the same amount of ‘how much hotter’.
* Yet there is no good y-axis for AI capability. All our...
What do you mean by not recommend? Not having it as a cause area is very different from not thinking it would be good.
I mean having it as a cause area. What would EA's cause areas have been if it existed in the 1960s? Or before slavery was abolished in the u.s.?