Cross-posted from my Substack.
Epistemic status: I’ve puzzled over this for a long time but I’m not sure I came to the right answers. I'm sharing this partly because it might help others work on resource allocation, but mostly because some smarter reader might tell me how to do it better.
TL;DR:
* I he...
With the AI windfall, mental health may be taken increasingly seriously by mainstream EA. There’s increasingly room to explore the cause area and answer some of the biggest uncertainties; at the same time, costs of the most effective interventions are continuing to fall. StrongMinds is now treating for ~$35, about a third of GiveWell’s best guess from a few years ago, and is expected to...
This is really sad news, especially coming recently after the news about plans for the Octopus Farm in Spain.
As far as EA goes, there's a quote from The Good Food Institute in the article - I wonder if anyone from there (or in the know) would be in any position to comment? I wonder if this caught GFI offguard like it did me, or if I shouldn't be surprised that a Populist Right government of a Western European country would propose something like this?
It would also be interesting to know what the likelihood of this passing is. I have a cursory-at-best knowledge of Italian Politics, but looking at the Composition of the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate[1], only the three right-most parties of the Parliament (Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, and Forza Italia) are needed for this to pass both chambers, so unfortunately I think this has a decent chance of passing and becoming law, subject to any constitutional challenges at national and EU level being unsuccessful.
Final point - I can't find any link to the actual name of the Bill itself, or the text, or any other reference documents, which is odd. I summise it's probably passed some internal committee and been leaked to the press before being released publicly? I still find it strange that no article I looked at actually linked to the primary source itself.
Respectively the lower and upper house of the Italian Parliament, you can see the breakdown by party here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Italian_Parliament
Here's a Google Translated version of the press release from the Italian government, and here's the full draft in Italian. You should be able to copy paste the text in google translate or deepl
Here's an (IMHO) sensible Italian article on the subject.
I find it very hard to predict politics, but I think it would probably at the very least need to change a lot before passing.
Can you say what makes you make that prediction?