Comments
137
Headline finding: I audited 17 AI Safety Talent programmes. Zero of 17 have published any comparison group, rejected-applicant follow-up, matched control or randomisation. Not one. Every programme that mentions a counterfactual does it by asking participants to self-report.
Background
At least $70 million...
Haseeb Qureshi and FTX are both EA aligned donors. I'm fairly skeptical that this is a counterfactual donation match.
Anecdotally, the match did lead a non-EA friend of mine to make a BTC gift she otherwise wouldn't have. So it could still lead to more 2021 giving to GD overall.