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I was born at the end of the cold war, unaware of the danger we were emerging from. Duck and cover drills (as if those could protect schoolchildren from a nuclear blast) were a curiosity of the past.
The farmer-poet Wendell Berry, who wrote about the dread of nuclear war, died recently. From his 1968 “The peace of wild things”:
When despair for the world grows in me
and I wake in the night at the least...
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Previously: GiveWell raised less than its 10th percentile forecast in 2023 · GiveWell fundraising up 17% in 2024
GiveWell has published its...
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I lead the Impact team at ProVeg International, and it's definitely unlocked our capabilities! E.g., one of our country office's recently developed a 3 year plan, and asked if we could forecast their impact in terms of GHG emissions. I reckon using Claude saved us close to a week in building the model.