EA Raleigh @ TBD

A preliminary estimate, and a request for better ones. Summary I believe the standard literature estimates for the number of DALYs attributable to a case of stunting are too low, largely because they don’t account for the long term effects. This means that childhood nutritional interventions that reduce the prevalence of stunting may be substantially more cost-effective than previously believed. Epistemic status Exploratory and back-o...

Note: This post was crossposted from Planned Obsolescence by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post. Subtitle: It’s a major warning shot, and might be the last one we get All opinions are my personal view, and don’t represent my employer or fellow investigators. This week, METR and Redwood Research published...

Last week, the Forum grappled with cluelessness. The volume of entries (76 essays!)[1]—from newcomers...