University-based recruitment of donors is challenging, as our operating model and the confidence of our donors have been significantly affected by coronavirus. We are within striking distance of most of our (pandemic-adjusted) targets but still have work to do.
Corporate recruitment has been excellent and has compensated for some of the challenges above.
Retention, somewhat surprisingly, has fared better. Activation rates are good, probably boosted by signing up ‘in-work’ donors, who have a 100% activation rate.
We are having a record-breaking year for ‘money moved’ to our charities. Although some of this is down to distorting effects like large one-off donations, monthly recurring donations and monthly recurring donors are growing steadily
AOB
Our average chapter performance has been significantly lower than in previous years. We believe this is mostly owing to the pandemic but it has also given us some doubt that our ‘lighter touch’ chapter management approach is working. We are going to revert to more intensive chapter management for the rest of this year and then run a proper experiment next year, with chapters split into random groups and treated differently, to see if we can isolate the ‘chapter management effect’.
Corporate events to sign up new donors have significantly exceeded our expectations and might merit more focus and resources in the future. We are continuing to trial these to get more data.
We opened an unprecedented number of chapters last year but many have not performed as we’d like, or have failed to start properly. We are going to repeat our scalable, email-based ‘new chapter expansion’ model this semester but with some changes to the onboarding process. We also cannot discount the impact of the pandemic on enthusiasm and the ability to get started.
We are now signing up donors in Australia, Canada and the UK, in addition to the US. We hope our Australian chapters can contribute significantly in the next 6 months, as life is fairly normal Down Under.
We continue to seek strategic partnerships in other territories, and hope to see the first OFTW chapters in at least some of Israel, Norway, Germany and Spain this year.
We ran our first concerted ‘upselling’ campaign in the fall, calling 227 existing donors (full report here). This had cautiously good results, as we connected with 23% of targets and upsold 40% of those we connected with, at an annual value of $12k. More encouragingly still, the mean increase in donation was 67% and median 40%, which are substantial increases. There was also some ‘soft’ value in touching base with longstanding donors, so we are likely to repeat this in the future.
A preliminary estimate, and a request for better ones.
Summary
I believe the standard literature estimates for the number of DALYs attributable to a case of stunting are too low, largely because they don’t account for the long term effects. This means that childhood nutritional interventions that reduce the prevalence of stunting may be substantially more cost-effective than previously believed.
Epistemic status
Exploratory and back-o...
Note: This post was crossposted from Planned Obsolescence by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.
Subtitle: It’s a major warning shot, and might be the last one we get
All opinions are my personal view, and don’t represent my employer or fellow investigators.
This week, METR and Redwood Research published...
Overview
This post summarizes a new preprint on alternative proteins from the Humane and Sustainable Food Lab: New alternatives, same orders. We investigated 19...
