AI Use Note: Main body text entirely human written. Claude (Opus 4.8) helped develop models of animal life histories in the appendix.
Cross-posted from Good Structures.
Executive Summary
* Animal advocates sometimes make claims like “there are X of this animal...
“How long have you been v*g*n?”
This is one of the most common icebreakers at animal protection events. It’s a baseline assumption, and it mostly holds true: if you’re out advocating for animals not to be tortured or abused, realistically these days you are v**n, or close. And it makes for good conversation. It seems fairly safe to assume when you meet strangers.
But this assumption is hurting the movement in a way which we don’t always notice: someone new comes into the sp...
Summary
Back in November 2023 I posted here to launch Spiro and raise our first $198k. Two and a half years later this is an update and a fundraiser for the next step.
The short version: we've now reached over-5,900 people with TB preventive medicine, including over 3,000 children under five years old. Our early results have held up well an...
U.S. Politics should be a main focus of US EAs right now. In the past year alone, every major EA cause area has been greatly hurt or bottlenecked by Trump. $40 billion in global health and international development funds was lost when USAID shut down, which some researchers project could lead to 14 million more deaths by 2030. Trump has signed an Executive Order that aims to block states from creating their own AI regulations, and has allowed our most powerful chips to be exported to China. Trump has withdrawn funding from, and U.S. support for, international governance bodies like the United Nations and the World Health Organization, thereby removing the world's most influential country from the collaborative efforts necessary to combat climate change and global pandemics. Most recently, the administration even changed nutritional guidelines, encouraging Americans to eat more animal protein than ever, which could drive more demand for unethically-produced animal products. In addition to all of this, Trump has continuously acted undemocratically, brazenly breaking norms and laws meant to protect us from autocracy and dictatorship. This goes to show just how determinative U.S. politics is to our successes and our failures.
On the bright side, we might end up getting an AI pause out of this, if the Netherlands wakes up and decides that it no longer wants to help supply chips for advanced AI which could either be (a) misaligned or (b) controlled by Trump. See previous discussion, protest. I reckon this moment represents a strong opportunity for Dutch EAs concerned with AI risks. Maybe get a TV interview where you explain how ASML is supplying chips to the US, then explain AI risk, etc.
In terms of red-teaming my own suggestion, I am somewhat worried about further politicizing the issue of AI / highlighting national rivalries. Seems best to push for symmetric restrictions on China--they are directly supplying materials to Russia for its war in Ukraine, after all. Eliezer Yudkowsky could be an interesting person to contact for red-teaming purposes, since he's strongly in favor of an AI pause, but also seems to resist any "international rivalry" framing of AI risk concerns?
I agree that this is a very important issue right now, but I’m not sure what we can do about it.
https://www.powerfordemocracies.org/research/our-recommendations/ !!
I think by the nature of how the EA Forum works, any proposed solution is likely to be more controversial than a generic "someone should do something about US politics" message. So any proposed solution will get at least a few early downvotes, causing low visibility. EAs want to upvote things which feel official and authoritative. They usually seem uninterested in improvisational brainstorming in response to an evolving situation. This will cause a paradoxical result where despite the "someone should do something about US politics" talk, proposing solutions will feel like a waste of time.
Maybe it would be good to create a dedicated brainstorming thread to try and mitigate this a little bit.
I agree. Basically anyone not in a politically sensitive role (this category is broader than it might intuitively seem) should be looking to make large donations in this area now and others should be reaching out to EAs focused on US politics if they feel well equipped to run or contribute to a high leverage project.
Unfortunately there is no AMF/GiveDirectly for politics and most things you can donate too are very poorly leveraged. Likewise it is hard to both scope a leveraged project and execute well on it. I know of one general exception at the moment which I'm happy to recommend privately.
I'm also happy to speak to anyone who intends to devote considerable money or work resources to this and pass them along to the people doing the best work here if that makes sense.
Maybe, but this also seems like the kind of extremely broadly salient thing where it would be more difficult for EAs to make a big difference on the margins with their work and funding compared to 'regular' EA causes. (though people should also focus time and money on things important to them)
What do people think of the idea of pushing for a constitutional convention/amendment? The coalition would be ending presidential immunity + reducing the pardon powers + banning stock trading for elected officials. Probably politically impossible but if there were ever a time it might be now.
If we’re doing a constitutional convention then really make it count…
-Statehood for Puerto Rico & Washington D.C.
-Expand the house so each representative represents fewer people.
https://youtu.be/KhQGHY44XPM?si=iLivhjAUAl-igEtd
-Make some extra Senators elected by popular vote.
-Make it easier to remove the president/executive with a congressional vote of no confidence or a 60% referendum vote at each mid-terms.
-Add term limits to the supreme court & elect new justices on a schedule. Or make the Supreme Court a rotating lottery of Appellate judges.
I’m still catching up on some work for a global health contractor, but when I get more spare time I want to develop a website to help people contact their representatives about several EA topics.
And it would be nice to enable multiple channels of contact like email, phone, text message, mail/post-card, social media, etc, so people can partly express intensity of interest through varied & frequent messaging.