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147
BLUF:
* To determine whether AI is ‘improving exponentially’, ‘hitting the wall’, or any other claim which involves a quantity or magnitude (e.g. ‘This model was a big leap/small increment’). We need a good y-axis: an interval scale of AI capability which means +1 unit always represents the same degree of ‘how much better’, in the same way +1 degree Celsius is always the same amount of ‘how much hotter’.
* Yet there is no good y-axis for AI capability. All our...
I'll vote yes, because with how I use the word morally the two statements in question 2 are equivalent. But I think if you defined it in the survey, you'd get more information: you wouldn't have to speculate about how we're interpreting that word.