BLUF:
* To determine whether AI is ‘improving exponentially’, ‘hitting the wall’, or any other claim which involves a quantity or magnitude (e.g. ‘This model was a big leap/small increment’). We need a good y-axis: an interval scale of AI capability which means +1 unit always represents the same degree of ‘how much better’, in the same way +1 degree Celsius is always the same amount of ‘how much hotter’.
* Yet there is no good y-axis for AI capability. All our...
Summary
* The animal welfare movement has already seen an influx in funding and should prepare for the possibility of more.
* The EA Animal Welfare Fund is encouraging those working in animal advocacy to actively set aside time and resources now to concretely plan for scaling sustainably, and we’ll support you in doing that.
* We’re requesting advocates set concrete ambitious goals and submit plans t...
Public service announcement
1. Applications are now open for our first ever round of the Charity Entrepreneurship Incubation Program dedicated exclusively to animal welfare. Learn more about what’s different this round here and apply...
This is a good survey. As you said, you focused on US and UK. But was it your intent to try to extrapolate that as a global value so we can show how cost-effective global poverty interventions are? Then if you do the same surveys about how much more poor workers would demand to be paid because of a risky occupation, the value of statistical life would be much smaller. So I ended up doing a broad distribution for the global value here. Note that I sidestepped the discounting issue by saying that the value of statistical life is growing, so we should not have to discount the current values.