Headline finding: I audited 17 AI Safety Talent programmes. Zero of 17 have published any comparison group, rejected-applicant follow-up, matched control or randomisation. Not one. Every programme that mentions a counterfactual does it by asking participants to self-report.
Background
At least $70 million...
In celebration of still being alive and fighting, we are giving away 1,000 Amazon e-books of “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies”. Feel free to send a copy to yourself, a loved one, or a friend—we need all hands on deck.
Today marks exactly one year since If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: Why Superhuman AI Would Kill Us All, by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soare...
A year ago I posted that YCombinator (YC) companies didn’t seem to be growing faster since the release of ChatGPT in 2022. I reran that experiment and found that 2023+ YC companies are arguably growing a bit faster than pre-2023 companies (including AfterQuery, ...
Has anyone considered the implications of a Reform UK government?
It would be greatly appreciated if someone with the relevant experience or knowledge could share their thoughts on this topic.
I know this hypothetical issue might not warrant much attention when compared to today's most pressing problems, but with poll after poll suggesting Reform UK will win the next election, it seems as if their potential impact should be analysed. I cannot see any mention of Reform UK on this forum.
Some concerns from their manifesto:
Many thanks
I would also be curious about the effects on AI safety, e.g. any chance the AISI might get DOGEd?
IIUC, polls this far out from an election aren't generally trustworthy, so I don't currently think it's particularly likely they'll win.