183Announcing Epoch: A research organization investigating the road to Transformative AIJaime Sevilla, lennart, mariushobbhahn, Pablo Villalobos, Tamay·4y ago·3m readJaime Sevilla, lennart, mariushobbhahn, Pablo Villalobos, Tamay+ 4 more·4y ago·3m read1111
179Why I think it's important to work on AI forecastingMatthew_Barnett·3y ago·12m readMatthew_Barnett·3y ago·12m read1010
148Literature review of TAI timelinesJaime Sevilla·3y ago·Curated 3y ago·2m readJaime Sevilla·3y ago·Curated 3y ago·2m read1010
127Announcing Epoch’s dashboard of key trends and figures in Machine LearningJaime Sevilla·3y ago·1m readJaime Sevilla·3y ago·1m read44
78AI Forecasting Research IdeasJaime Sevilla, lennart·3y ago·1m readJaime Sevilla, lennart+ 1 more·3y ago·1m read11
63Trends in the dollar training cost of machine learning systemsBen Cottier·3y ago·3m readBen Cottier·3y ago·3m read33
60Grokking “Semi-informative priors over AI timelines”[anonymous]·4y ago·17m read[anonymous]·4y ago·17m read11
52Now THIS is forecasting: understanding Epoch's Direct ApproachElliot Mckernon, Convergence Analysis, Zershaaneh Qureshi·2y ago·23m readElliot Mckernon, Convergence Analysis, Zershaaneh Qureshi+ 2 more·2y ago·23m read22
48Power laws in Speedrunning and Machine LearningJaime Sevilla·3y ago·2m readJaime Sevilla·3y ago·2m read
46Is it 3 Years, or 3 Decades Away? Disagreements on AGI TimelinesVasco Grilo🔸·1y ago·2m readVasco Grilo🔸·1y ago·2m read11
43Grokking “Forecasting TAI with biological anchors”[anonymous]·4y ago·17m read[anonymous]·4y ago·17m read
38Announcing Epoch's newly expanded Parameters, Compute and Data Trends in Machine Learning databaseRobi Rahman🔸, Jaime Sevilla·3y ago·1m readRobi Rahman🔸, Jaime Sevilla+ 1 more·3y ago·1m read11